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Tuesday, January 1, 2013

My 2012 Where's George End of Year Review

With 2012 now over, it's time to take a look at how I did in regards to my Where's George Predictions, Goals, and Wishes for 2012. Starting off I'll take a look at my normal weekly stats (but for just the final two days of the year).

In the last two days of 2012, I received 4 hits in 4 States [CA, CO, NV, TX]. Throughout the year I received hits in 44 States. Overall I have hits in 49 States missing just West Virginia (my prediction of completing 50 State bingo didn't come through). No new counties means I ended the year with hits in 483 counties.

Of those 4 hits, 1 was the 4th hit on the bill, 1 was the 2nd hit on the bill, and the rest (2) were the initial hit on the bill. I didn't get a 5 hit bill during the year, so that wish didn't come true.

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
30310102030405
13?????

Two more days with hits extends my current hit streak to 86 days. The hit on Sunday came after 8 PM, and I had already written off my streak extending. I had previously completed my prediction of a 80+ day hit streak earlier in the year, and this current streak has extended beyond that one. All in all, I ended up with 9 hit-less days in 2012 (better than the prediction of 13). 3 of those hit-less days were within a week in October.

Looking at how my actuals compared to my predictions regarding bill entries and hits ended, I surpassed all three numbers by quite a bit. However, a lot of the exceeding values are due to an underestimation of the number of bills entered:

 SoYStart of YearEoYEnd of YearYear Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)DvPActual versus Prediction:
How this Year's Numbers Stack Up Against the Prediction
Bills Entered1672022920620021720+1200
Bills with Hits2430370412743445+259
Total Hits2799433015314030+300

Based on the goal of 5000 bill entries, here's how I did towards my bill entry goals. Starting off with my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 86.29% so the goal is 87.29%), my percentage ended at 87.64% [+1.35%] which more than completed my goal:

 SoYStart of YearEoYEnd of YearYear Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 5000 Bill Entries This Year
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered Based on the Actual Number of Bills Entered
AvGActual versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers Stack Up Against the Goal
$1s Entered144272008656591895920047+39
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 6200 entries this year rather than 50002000620006+80

As for the goal of having series 2009 pass series 2003A in number of entries, series 2009 easily surpassed 2003A and had a huge lead by the end of the year:

 SoYStart of YearEoYEnd of YearYear Change:
Number Added this Year
  Year Change:
Number Added this Year
AvGActual versus Goal:
How the Actual YΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal YΔ
2003A36033895292GoalNumber of Entries Needed Per Timeframe to Stay on Pace for the Year Based on the Predicted Amount of 5000 Bills Entered2809+652
2009133950923753Actual3461

And for my goal of decreasing San Francisco "L" FRB entries below 50.0% while increasing Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J", I met the goal but went a bit overboard in the process inserting ~200 bills for each of the six FRBs I wanted to increase.

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearEoYEnd of YearEoY%Percentage of Overall at End of YearGoalGoal PercentageEoYGEnd of Year Goal:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered this Year to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
San Francisco "L"853251.03%1095347.79%< 50.0%49.94%11401+448
Boston "A"4612.76%7813.41%> 2.8%2.85%658+123
Cleveland "D"3952.36%8193.57%> 2.4%2.45%566+253
St. Louis "H"3822.28%7403.23%> 2.3%2.35%542+198
Philadelphia "C"3762.25%6562.86%> 2.2%2.25%516+140
Minneapolis "I"3522.11%6022.63%> 2.1%2.15%495+107
Kansas City "J"2901.73%5582.43%> 1.7%1.75%403+155

As for the other predictions, goals, and wishes that I haven't covered yet, here's how they ended up:

  • California County Bingo: An Additional County Hit

    I had hits in 52 of the 58 California counties coming into the year. I expected to just get one more in 2012, but ended up adding three to end the year with 55.

  • FRB Bingos: 17 Additional Completed

    I started the year with 40 and expected to have 57 by the end of the year. Instead, I ended with 74 aided by the extra hits that I got compared to predicted.

  • National Rank by George Score: Under 1000

    I started the year around 1050. In November and December, the highest my rank got was 792 and at best I was as low as 732. This goal turned out to be a bit easier than expected.

  • Caifornia State Rank by George Score: 75 or Better

    I started the year in the lower 90s/upper 80s. In November and December, the highest my rank got was 66 and at best I was as low as 55. This goal also turned out to be easier than expected.

  • Zip Codes with 25+ Bills Entered: 30

    I started the year with 22 and wanted to add an additional 8 zip codes to the list. I ended the year with 28. I probably could have met this goal, but midway through the year, I lost interest with this goal.

  • New Record Month for Hits

    My record coming into the year was 124 hits in October of 2011. I set new records four times in 2012: January (126), March (129), April (139), and May (160).

  • Surpass 500 2006 L-L $1 Entries

    I started the year with 481 and ended with 522 completing this wish.

  • Surpass 400 Entries with one 2009 FRB/Block Combo and 300 with Another

    I ended up with four different 2009 combos with greater than 300 entries: LG (398), LB (365), LF (353), and LK (332). LG was very close to 400 and narrowly missed completing this wish.

  • Complete Non-Star Portions of Series 2003A and 2006 $1 Bingo

    This turned out to be a very unrealistic wish. I needed 6 2003A and 11 2006 combos to complete the non-star portions. I got none of the 2003A combos but I did get 8 of the 2006 combos (plus two of the star combos that I didn't previously have) to fall 9 spots short overall.

  • A 4+ Year Active Bill

    My longest active bill coming into the year was active for 3 Years, 251 Days, 19 Hours, and 40 Minutes. I ended up with five 4+ year active bills in 2012 with the longest out there for 4 Years, 200 Days, and 22 Minutes.

All in all it was a fantastic year for me for Georging. Can't wait to see what 2013 brings!

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