My UFC 146 Picks

Heavyweight Match [UFC146-01]
PPV / Main Card / Main Event / Championship
Junior dos Santos				Frank Mir
HW #1 / 793 points				HW #5 / 393 points
14 - 1 - 0				16 - 5 - 0
Wins: 10 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 2 Dec				Wins: 3 (T)KO, 9 Sub, 3 Dec, 1 Other
Win Points: 22.40				Win Points: 26.40
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.33:1	6.65:1	6.65:1	Payout:	4.75:1	1.58:1	4.75:1
Max Bet:	22.40	1.76	1.76	Max Bet:	2.66	17.24	2.66

My Pick: Junior dos Santos

Although he's had some nice victories recently, I still feel that Mir is on the downside of his career. dos Santos should easily roll through Mir and finish him off by TKO well before the championship rounds.

Heavyweight Match [UFC146-02]
PPV / Main Card / Co-Main Event / #1 Contender Match
Cain Velasquez				Antonio Silva
HW #3 / 531 points				HW #7 / 232 points
9 - 1 - 0				16 - 3 - 0
Wins: 8 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 1 Dec				Wins: 11 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 19.24				Win Points: 23.25
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.07:1	7.50:1	7.50:1	Payout:	1.38:1	5.07:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	19.24	1.53	1.53	Max Bet:	23.25	2.45	1.53

My Pick: Cain Velasquez

Silva's last fight was a loss to Cain's teammate (and now StrikeForce Heavyweight Grand Prix champion), Daniel Cormier. Cain is more talented than Cormier and should have no problem dispatching "Big Foot".

Heavyweight Match [UFC146-03]
PPV / Main Card
Roy Nelson				Dave Herman
HW #17 / 127 points				HW #42 / 70 points
16 - 7 - 0				21 - 3 - 0
Wins: 9 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 2 Dec				Wins: 15 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 15.97				Win Points: 18.41
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.69:1	3.04:1	7.50:1	Payout:	1.33:1	3.99:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	14.49	4.90	1.53	Max Bet:	18.41	3.34	1.53

My Pick: Roy Nelson

Herman's run in the UFC has not impressed me. Nelson is durable, and Herman will likely gas out far before this one ends. "Big Country" will take advantage of that to get the finish.

Heavyweight Match [UFC146-04]
PPV / Main Card
Stipe Miocic				Shane del Rosario
HW #23 / 110 points				NR / 28 points
8 - 0 - 0				11 - 0 - 0
Wins: 6 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 1 Dec				Wins: 8 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 0 Dec
Win Points: 12.87				Win Points: 16.98
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.27:1	7.50:1	7.50:1	Payout:	1.31:1	3.48:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	12.87	1.53	1.53	Max Bet:	16.98	4.03	1.53

My Pick: Stipe Miocic

Somebody's oh has got to go! In the battle of undefeated heavyweight prospects, I give to the nod to Miocic as he's already had two victories on the big stage.

Heavyweight Match [UFC146-05]
PPV / Main Card
Stefan Struve				Lavar Johnson
HW #20 / 118 points				HW #31 / 88 points
23 - 5 - 0				17 - 5 - 0
Wins: 6 (T)KO, 15 Sub, 1 Dec, 1 Other				Wins: 15 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 0 Dec
Win Points: 16.61				Win Points: 17.86
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	3.48:1	1.39:1	7.50:1	Payout:	1.08:1	7.50:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	4.03	16.61	1.53	Max Bet:	17.86	1.53	1.53

My Pick: Lavar Johnson

Knockout or submission, that's the big question here. Although I have concerns about Lavar getting taken down and mounted by Pat Barry, I think he ends this one on the feet before The Skyscraper gets the opportunity to bring him to the ground.

Featherweight Match [UFC146-06]
FX
Darren Elkins				Diego Brandao
FW #32 / 106 points				FW #79 / 62 points
13 - 2 - 0				14 - 7 - 0
Wins: 4 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 4 Dec				Wins: 8 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 9.47				Win Points: 10.77
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	3.09:1	2.47:1	3.09:1	Payout:	1.66:1	3.33:1	6.65:1
Max Bet:	4.78	6.80	4.78	Max Bet:	10.77	4.29	1.76

My Pick: Darren Elkins

Elkins has victories against a few fighter's name I recognize. Brandeo does not. Therefore, I pick Elkins.

Lightweight Match [UFC146-07]
FX
Edson Barboza				Jamie Varner
LW #48 / 105 points				LW #53 / 100 points
10 - 0 - 0				19 - 6 - 1 (2 NC)
Wins: 7 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 2 Dec				Wins: 6 (T)KO, 11 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 9.98				Win Points: 10.10
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.36:1	7.50:1	4.75:1	Payout:	3.01:1	1.64:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	9.98	1.53	2.66	Max Bet:	4.97	10.10	1.53

My Pick: Edson Barboza

Here's hoping that Barboza can send Varner back to the minor leagues. Usually I'm a fan of the former WEC fighters, and I was a fan of Varner for a bit, but there's something about him now that just completely annoys me.

Middleweight Match [UFC146-08]
FX
C.B. Dollaway				Jason Miller
MW #85 / 74 points				MW #86 / 73 points
11 - 4 - 0				23 - 8 - 0 (1 NC)
Wins: 5 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 3 Dec				Wins: 5 (T)KO, 14 Sub, 4 Dec
Win Points: 8.09				Win Points: 8.12
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	2.09:1	3.48:1	3.48:1	Payout:	4.37:1	1.56:1	5.46:1
Max Bet:	8.09	4.03	4.03	Max Bet:	2.96	8.12	2.24

My Pick: Jason Miller

I wish I could pick a double knockout or perhaps a double tap out, but since I can't, I'm hoping that Miller finally sends Dollaway out-of-the-way.

Lightweight Match [UFC146-09]
FX
Dan Hardy				Duane Ludwig
WW #60 / 92 points				WW #82 / 80 points
23 - 10 - 0 (1 NC)				21 - 12 - 0
Wins: 11 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 8 Dec				Wins: 10 (T)KO, 6 Sub, 5 Dec
Win Points: 8.70				Win Points: 9.01
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.99:1	5.46:1	2.73:1	Payout:	2.00:1	3.33:1	3.99:1
Max Bet:	8.70	2.24	5.78	Max Bet:	9.01	4.29	3.34

My Pick: Duane Ludwig

It's time to turn the four fight losing streak into five. Theorically Duane "Bang" Ludwig is the right style match up for Dan Hardy, but Hardy hasn't taken advantage of that recently. Hopefully with this loss, the UFC finally send "The Outlaw" packing.

Welterweight Match [UFC146-10]
N/A
Jacob Volkmann				Pass Sass
LW #24 / 154 points				LW #62 / 94 points
14 - 2 - 0				12 - 0 - 0
Wins: 0 (T)KO, 6 Sub, 7 Dec, 1 Other				Wins: 0 (T)KO, 11 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 7.42				Win Points: 8.36
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	7.50:1	2.06:1	1.76:1	Payout:	7.50:1	1.04:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	1.53	7.42	7.42	Max Bet:	1.53	8.36	1.53

My Pick: Jacob Volkmann

Sass has the better record, but Volkmann's two losses came against strong competition. Volkmann's experience in the octagon will be the deciding factor as he hands Sass his first loss.

Light Heavyweight Match [UFC146-11]
N/A
Glover Teixeira				Kyle Kingsbury
LHW #25 / 122 points				LHW #48 / 77 points
17 - 2 - 0				11 - 3 - 0 (1 NC)
Wins: 11 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 2 Dec				Wins: 4 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 5 Dec
Win Points: 7.83				Win Points: 8.76
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.47:1	4.04:1	7.50:1	Payout:	2.61:1	5.23:1	2.09:1
Max Bet:	7.83	3.28	1.53	Max Bet:	6.21	2.36	8.76

My Pick: Glover Teixeira

Teixeria is on a 15 fight win streak. Make it 16.

Featherweight Match [UFC146-12]
N/A
Daniel Pineda				Mike Brown
FW #31 / 107 points				FW #39 / 96 points
17 - 7 - 0				25 - 8 - 0
Wins: 6 (T)KO, 11 Sub, 0 Dec				Wins: 5 (T)KO, 13 Sub, 7 Dec
Win Points: 8.15				Win Points: 8.37
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	2.69:1	1.47:1	7.50:1	Payout:	4.75:1	1.83:1	3.39:1
Max Bet:	5.91	8.15	1.53	Max Bet:	2.66	8.37	4.18

My Pick: Daniel Pineda

Pineda is on his way up. Brown is on his way down. Those trends continue.