My Where's George Week in Review: 05/13/12 - 05/19/12

Hover over this explanation for more detailsThe nerd that I am, I chose to post once a week a summary of my previous week's Where's George activity in comparision to my goals for the year.

In order to make the charts fit, I had to abreviate the column headers. Each header is now hoverable for an explanation.

In the past week, I received 38 hits in 10 States [AZ², CA²⁶, HI, ID, IN, MN, OR, PA, TX³, WA]. I still have hits in 34 States in 2012 with none added this week. Additionally I now have hits in 420 counties with 5 new this week: Del Norte CA, Marion IN, Lancaster PA, Angelina TX, Upshur TX. The hit in Del Norte CA is my first new CA county of the year (and in a long time).

Of those 38 hits, 1 was the 3^rd hit on the bill, 5 were the 2^nd hit on the bill, and the rest (32) were the initial hit on the bill. The longest bill active from the bunch was re-entered 3 Years 49 Days 0 Hours 2 Minutes after I originally entered it. This bill is now #5 on my all-time longest active list.

Sunday	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday
13	14	15	16	17	18	19
5	5	5	6	1	6	10

My hit streak continued through this week although Thursday was a bit of a concern. It is now at 46 days: 8 to go to tie my 4th longest streak.

Taking a look at how my predictions regarding bill entries and hits are going so far, I was a little behind on bill entries, but that's ok since I'm so far ahead of my goal for the year. Hit and bills with hits again were above needed:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	PPrediction (for Year)	P/WPrediction for Week: A Week's Share of the Total	PtDPrediction to Date: The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far	WvPWeek versus Prediction: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W	DvPDate versus Prediction: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered	16720	18878	18961	83	2241	21720	95.6	18633	-13	+328
Bills with Hits	2430	2905	2937	32	507	3445	19.4	2818	+13	+119
Total Hits	2799	3372	3410	38	611	4030	23.5	3270	+14	+140

Based on the goal of 5000 bill entries, here's how I'm doing towards my bill entry goals. Starting off with my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 86.29% so the goal is 87.29%), my percentage is now 86.93% [+0.64%]. I was a little ahead of this goal this week, however, the next couple weeks may be rough on this one, and I wouldn't be surprised if it falls into the red:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	GGoal: Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 5000 Bill Entries This Year	GfWGoal for Week: This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week	GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal	WvGWeek versus Goal: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered	14427	16403	16482	79	2055	18959	75.2	16458	+4	+24

As for the goal of having series 2009 pass series 2003A in number of entries, I'm still well ahead and closing in on having 2009 being only 1000 entries behind 2003A:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year			WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	WvGWeek versus Goal: How the Actual WΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal WΔ	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Actual YΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal YΔ
2003A	3603	3728	3733	5	130		GoalNumber of Entries Needed Per Timeframe to Stay on Pace for the Year Based on the Predicted Amount of 5000 Bills Entered	38	1015	+8	+148
2009	1339	2581	2632	51	1293		Actual	46	1163

And for my goal of decreasing San Francisco "L" FRB entries below 50.0% while increasing Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J", I'm pretty much where I was last week. I've entered my first inserted "I" bill and expect to start to decrease the deficit for Minneapolis bills this upcoming week:

	SoYStart of Year	SoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of Year	SoWStart of Week	SoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of Week	EoWEnd of Week	EoW%Percentage of Overall at End of Week	GoalGoal Percentage		GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
San Francisco "L"	8532	51.03%	9338	49.46%	9367	49.40%	< 50.0%	49.94%	9569	+202
Boston "A"	461	2.76%	600	3.18%	606	3.20%	> 2.8%	2.85%	532	+74
Cleveland "D"	395	2.36%	617	3.27%	623	3.29%	> 2.4%	2.45%	457	+166
St. Louis "H"	382	2.28%	491	2.60%	497	2.62%	> 2.3%	2.35%	440	+57
Philadelphia "C"	376	2.25%	487	2.58%	494	2.61%	> 2.2%	2.25%	427	+67
Minneapolis "I"	352	2.11%	372	1.97%	373	1.97%	> 2.1%	2.15%	404	-31
Kansas City "J"	290	1.73%	399	2.11%	405	2.14%	> 1.7%	1.75%	331	+74

This week was my third best week ever for hits. Since last week was my second best, May is off to a really hot start: already breaking 100 hits (104) in just 19 days. I just need 36 hits in the final 12 days to set a new record for most hits in a month.

My UFC on FuelTV 3 Picks

Featherweight Match [FUEL3-01]
Fuel / Main Card / Main Event
Dustin Poirier				Chan Sung Jung
FW #14 / 142 points				FW #21 / 129 points
12 - 1 - 0				12 - 3 - 0
Wins: 5 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 2 Dec				Wins: 3 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 13.81				Win Points: 14.15
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	2.28:1	2.28:1	5.70:1	Payout:	3.80:1	1.63:1	5.70:1
Max Bet:	7.81	7.81	2.12	Max Bet:	3.57	14.15	2.12

My Pick: Dustin Poirier

My Fight Analysis Here...

Welterweight Match [FUEL3-02]
Fuel / Main Card / Co-Main Event
Amir Sadollah				Jorge Lopez
WW #82 / 80 points				WW #93 / 76 points
5 - 3 - 0				11 - 2 - 0
Wins: 0 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 3 Dec				Wins: 5 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 6 Dec
Win Points: 8.48				Win Points: 8.59
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	7.50:1	2.38:1	1.58:1	Payout:	2.09:1	7.50:1	1.74:1
Max Bet:	1.53	7.24	8.48	Max Bet:	8.59	1.53	8.59

My Pick: Jorge Lopez

My Fight Analysis Here...

Lightweight Match [FUEL3-03]
Fuel / Main Card
Donald Cerrone				Jeremy Stephens
LW #13 / 182 points				LW #28 / 143 points
17 - 4 - 0 (1 NC)				20 - 7 - 0
Wins: 1 (T)KO, 13 Sub, 3 Dec				Wins: 14 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 3 Dec
Win Points: 12.34				Win Points: 13.10
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	7.50:1	1.24:1	5.38:1	Payout:	1.36:1	6.33:1	6.33:1
Max Bet:	1.53	12.34	2.28	Max Bet:	13.10	1.87	1.87

My Pick: Donald Cerrone

My Fight Analysis Here...

Bantamweight Match [FUEL3-04]
Fuel / Main Card
Yves Jabouin				Jeff Hougland
BW #20 / 90 points				BW #47 / 63 points
17 - 7 - 0				10 - 4 - 0
Wins: 11 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 5 Dec				Wins: 1 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 11.06				Win Points: 12.07
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.47:1	7.50:1	3.23:1	Payout:	7.50:1	1.36:1	4.75:1
Max Bet:	11.06	1.53	4.48	Max Bet:	1.53	12.07	2.66

My Pick: Yves Jabouin

My Fight Analysis Here...

Light Heavyweight Match [FUEL3-05]
Fuel / Main Card
Igor Pokrajac				Fabio Maldonado
LHW #40 / 88 points				LHW #78 / 52 points
24 - 8 - 0				18 - 4 - 0
Wins: 13 (T)KO, 8 Sub, 3 Dec				Wins: 12 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 3 Dec
Win Points: 9.17				Win Points: 10.41
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.75:1	2.85:1	7.50:1	Payout:	1.43:1	5.70:1	5.70:1
Max Bet:	9.17	5.40	1.53	Max Bet:	10.41	2.12	2.12

My Pick: Igor Pokrajac

My Fight Analysis Here...

Middleweight Match [FUEL3-06]
Fuel / Main Card
Jason MacDonald				Tom Lawlor
MW #67 / 84 points				MW #86 / 72 points
25 - 15 - 0				7 - 4 - 0 (1 NC)
Wins: 3 (T)KO, 19 Sub, 3 Dec				Wins: 2 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 8.39				Win Points: 8.72
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	7.50:1	1.25:1	7.50:1	Payout:	3.33:1	2.22:1	3.33:1
Max Bet:	1.53	8.39	1.53	Max Bet:	4.29	8.19	4.29

My Pick: Jason MacDonald

My Fight Analysis Here...

Middleweight Match [FUEL3-07]
N/A
Dongi Yang				Brad Tavares
MW #128 / 52 points				MW #228 / 36 points
10 - 2 - 0				7 - 1 - 0
Wins: 9 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 0 Dec				Wins: 4 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 2.96				Win Points: 3.24
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.06:1	7.50:1	7.50:1	Payout:	1.66:1	3.33:1	6.65:1
Max Bet:	2.96	1.53	1.53	Max Bet:	3.24	3.24	1.76

My Pick: Dongi Yang

My Fight Analysis Here...

Lightweight Match [FUEL3-08]
N/A
Marcus LeVesseur				Cody McKenzie
LW #123 / 58 points				LW #383 / 30 points
21 - 5 - 0				12 - 2 - 0
Wins: 10 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 4 Dec				Wins: 1 (T)KO, 11 Sub, 0 Dec
Win Points: 2.79				Win Points: 3.26
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	2.00:1	2.85:1	4.99:1	Payout:	7.50:1	1.04:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	2.79	2.79	2.50	Max Bet:	1.53	3.26	1.53

My Pick: Cody McKenzie

My Fight Analysis Here...

Lightweight Match [FUEL3-09]
N/A
TJ Grant				Carlo Prater
LW #23 / 152 points				WW #42 / 117 points
17 - 5 - 0				30 - 10 - 1
Wins: 2 (T)KO, 13 Sub, 2 Dec				Wins: 2 (T)KO, 16 Sub, 11 Dec, 1 Other
Win Points: 8.31				Win Points: 8.77
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	7.50:1	1.24:1	7.50:1	Payout:	7.50:1	1.72:1	2.50:1
Max Bet:	1.53	8.31	1.53	Max Bet:	1.53	8.77	6.66

My Pick: TJ Grant

My Fight Analysis Here...

Lightweight Match [FUEL3-10]
N/A
Rafael dos Anjos				Kamal Shalorus
LW #24 / 151 points				LW #90 / 70 points
15 - 6 - 0				7 - 2 - 2
Wins: 2 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 6 Dec				Wins: 4 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 6.68				Win Points: 7.98
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	7.13:1	2.04:1	2.38:1	Payout:	1.66:1	6.65:1	3.33:1
Max Bet:	1.63	6.68	6.68	Max Bet:	7.98	1.76	4.29

My Pick: Rafael dos Anjos

My Fight Analysis Here...

Bantamweight Match [FUEL3-11]
N/A
Jeff Curran				Johnny Eduardo
BW #52 / 58 points				BW #162 / 30 points
33 - 14 - 0 (1 NC)				25 - 9 - 0
Wins: 1 (T)KO, 19 Sub, 13 Dec				Wins: 6 (T)KO, 13 Sub, 6 Dec
Win Points: 4.74				Win Points: 5.54
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	7.50:1	1.65:1	2.41:1	Payout:	3.96:1	1.83:1	3.96:1
Max Bet:	1.53	4.74	4.74	Max Bet:	3.37	5.54	3.37

My Pick: Jeff Curran

My Fight Analysis Here...

Bantamweight Match [FUEL3-12]
N/A
Francisco Rivera				Alex Soto
BW #91 / 43 points				BW #148 / 32 points
9 - 2 - 0				6 - 1 - 1
Wins: 7 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 2 Dec				Wins: 2 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 3.96				Win Points: 4.26
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.22:1	7.50:1	4.28:1	Payout:	2.85:1	1.90:1	5.70:1
Max Bet:	3.96	1.53	3.04	Max Bet:	4.26	4.26	2.12

My Pick: Francisco Rivera

My Fight Analysis Here...

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/06/12 - 05/12/12

Hover over this explanation for more detailsThe nerd that I am, I chose to post once a week a summary of my previous week's Where's George activity in comparision to my goals for the year.

In order to make the charts fit, I had to abreviate the column headers. Each header is now hoverable for an explanation.

In the past week, I received 41 hits in 8 States [AZ², CA³¹, FL, KS, MA, OR³, TX, WA]. I now have hits in 34 States in 2012 with 1 added this week: KS. Additionally I now have hits in 415 counties with 5 new this week: Pinal AZ, Charlotte FL, Hampshire MA, Klamath OR, Lincoln OR.

Of those 41 hits, 1 was the 3^rd hit on the bill, 6 were the 2^nd hit on the bill, and the rest (34) were the initial hit on the bill. The longest bill active from the bunch was re-entered 3 Years 103 Days 10 Hours 37 Minutes after I originally entered it. This bill is currently my third longest active all-time.

Sunday	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday
06	07	08	09	10	11	12
6	10	8	3	7	3	4

The 41 hits make this week my second best hit week ever. The lack of a hitless day continues the current hit streak which is now at 39 days (my 5th best all-time).

Taking a look at how my predictions regarding bill entries and hits are going so far, it was another positive week for all categories. I guess all of these predictions were too light:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	PPrediction (for Year)	P/WPrediction for Week: A Week's Share of the Total	PtDPrediction to Date: The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far	WvPWeek versus Prediction: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W	DvPDate versus Prediction: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered	16720	18749	18878	129	2158	21720	95.6	18537	+33	+341
Bills with Hits	2430	2871	2905	34	475	3445	19.4	2799	+15	+106
Total Hits	2799	3331	3372	41	573	4030	23.5	3246	+17	+126

Based on the goal of 5000 bill entries, here's how I'm doing towards my bill entry goals. Starting off with my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 86.29% so the goal is 87.29%), my percentage is now 86.89% [+0.60%]. I gained back some of the ground lost last week which is good since I'll likely lose some more ground in the two weeks following the upcoming week:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	GGoal: Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 5000 Bill Entries This Year	GfWGoal for Week: This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week	GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal	WvGWeek versus Goal: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered	14427	16281	16403	122	1976	18959	116.9	16383	+5	+20

As for the goal of having series 2009 pass series 2003A in number of entries, I lost a little ground this week but still have a pretty large lead:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year			WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	WvGWeek versus Goal: How the Actual WΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal WΔ	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Actual YΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal YΔ
2003A	3603	3717	3728	11	125		GoalNumber of Entries Needed Per Timeframe to Stay on Pace for the Year Based on the Predicted Amount of 5000 Bills Entered	58	978	-2	+139
2009	1339	2514	2581	67	1242		Actual	56	1117

And for my goal of decreasing San Francisco "L" FRB entries below 50.0% while increasing Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J", there's nothing new to report. Entry of the acquired "I" bills should start this week.

	SoYStart of Year	SoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of Year	SoWStart of Week	SoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of Week	EoWEnd of Week	EoW%Percentage of Overall at End of Week	GoalGoal Percentage		GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
San Francisco "L"	8532	51.03%	9303	49.62%	9338	49.46%	< 50.0%	49.94%	9531	+193
Boston "A"	461	2.76%	592	3.16%	600	3.18%	> 2.8%	2.85%	530	+70
Cleveland "D"	395	2.36%	606	3.23%	617	3.27%	> 2.4%	2.45%	455	+162
St. Louis "H"	382	2.28%	485	2.59%	491	2.60%	> 2.3%	2.35%	438	+53
Philadelphia "C"	376	2.25%	478	2.55%	487	2.58%	> 2.2%	2.25%	425	+62
Minneapolis "I"	352	2.11%	370	1.97%	372	1.97%	> 2.1%	2.15%	402	-30
Kansas City "J"	290	1.73%	383	2.04%	399	2.11%	> 1.7%	1.75%	329	+70

Another fantastic week is in the books. Looking forward to seeing how next weeks goes.

My Where's George Week in Review: 04/29/12 - 05/05/12

Hover over this explanation for more detailsThe nerd that I am, I chose to post once a week a summary of my previous week's Where's George activity in comparision to my goals for the year.

In order to make the charts fit, I had to abreviate the column headers. Each header is now hoverable for an explanation.

In the past week, I received 30 hits in 10 States [AL, AZ, CA¹⁸, GA, ID², IL, MS, NV², OR, WA²]. I now have hits in 33 States in 2012 with 1 added this week: MS. The Mississippi hit was my first hit ever in MS, and I now have hits in 49 States all-time. Additionally I now have hits in 410 counties with 3 new this week: Adams IL, Harrison MS, Spokane WA.

Of those 30 hits, 9 were the 2^nd hit on the bill and the rest (21) were the initial hit on the bill. The longest bill active from the bunch was re-entered 2 Years 305 Days 18 Hours 53 Minutes after I originally entered it.

Sunday	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday
29	30	01	02	03	04	05
2	3	3	9	7	2	4

Another week of no hit-less days extends my current hit streak to 32 days. This streak is now tied for fifth longest. It's currently 22 days short of fourth place, so it's going to be a while before it has a chance to move up.

Taking a look at how my predictions regarding bill entries and hits are going so far, it was a monster week for entries as I spent a couple days at a casino in Reno and entered a number of bills for gambling:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	PPrediction (for Year)	P/WPrediction for Week: A Week's Share of the Total	PtDPrediction to Date: The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far	WvPWeek versus Prediction: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W	DvPDate versus Prediction: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered	16719	18526	18748	222	2029	21720	95.6	18441	+126	+307
Bills with Hits	2430	2850	2871	21	441	3445	19.4	2779	+2	+92
Total Hits	2799	3301	3331	30	532	4030	23.5	3223	+6	+108

Based on the goal of 5000 bill entries, here's how I'm doing towards my bill entry goals. Starting off with my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 86.29% so the goal is 87.29%), my percentage is now 86.84% [+0.55%]. This goal was negatively impacted by the gambling trip as I entered more non-ones than normal:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	GGoal: Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 5000 Bill Entries This Year	GfWGoal for Week: This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week	GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal	WvGWeek versus Goal: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered	14426	16093	16280	187	1854	18959	201.2	16265	-14	+15

As for the goal of having series 2009 pass series 2003A in number of entries, it was also a rough week. I think this was due to the slot machine payouts tending to be "older" bills:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year			WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	WvGWeek versus Goal: How the Actual WΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal WΔ	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Actual YΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal YΔ
2003A	3603	3703	3717	14	114		GoalNumber of Entries Needed Per Timeframe to Stay on Pace for the Year Based on the Predicted Amount of 5000 Bills Entered	101	919	-12	+142
2009	1339	2411	2514	103	1175		Actual	89	1061

And for my goal of decreasing San Francisco "L" FRB entries below 50.0% while increasing Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J", nothing really new to report. I've acquired the final set of "I" bills, and should be inserting those into my entries in a couple weeks:

	SoYStart of Year	SoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of Year	SoWStart of Week	SoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of Week	EoWEnd of Week	EoW%Percentage of Overall at End of Week	GoalGoal Percentage		GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
San Francisco "L"	8532	51.03%	9228	49.81%	9303	49.62%	< 50.0%	49.94%	9471	+168
Boston "A"	461	2.76%	574	3.10%	592	3.16%	> 2.8%	2.85%	526	+66
Cleveland "D"	395	2.36%	588	3.17%	606	3.23%	> 2.4%	2.45%	451	+155
St. Louis "H"	382	2.28%	471	2.54%	485	2.59%	> 2.3%	2.35%	434	+51
Philadelphia "C"	376	2.25%	466	2.52%	478	2.55%	> 2.2%	2.25%	422	+56
Minneapolis "I"	352	2.11%	368	1.99%	370	1.97%	> 2.1%	2.15%	399	-29
Kansas City "J"	290	1.73%	367	1.98%	383	2.04%	> 1.7%	1.75%	327	+56

The big excitement for the week was the Mississippi hit. Other than that, it was an average week for hits. Hopefully I will see a big benefit in hits from all the bills entered this week.

Mississippi Falls!

I finally got a Where's George hit in Mississippi! I now have hits in 49 States with just West Virginia to go. Will I get that WV hit in 2012 to complete 50 State Bingo? I certainly hope so.

My UFC on FOX 3 Fight Picks

Lightweight Match [FOX3-01]
FOX / Main Card / Main Event
Nate Diaz				Jim Miller
LW #7 / 266 points				LW #8 / 232 points
15 - 7 - 0				21 - 3 - 0
Wins: 3 (T)KO, 10 Sub, 2 Dec				Wins: 3 (T)KO, 12 Sub, 6 Dec
Win Points: 18.84				Win Points: 19.49
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	4.75:1	1.43:1	7.13:1	Payout:	6.65:1	1.66:1	3.33:1
Max Bet:	2.66	18.84	1.63	Max Bet:	1.76	15.15	4.29

My Pick: Jim Miller

Miller has only lost to Ben Henderson, Frankie Edgar, and Gray Maynard. He's faced a number of stiff challenges and only lost to those at the top. I don't think Nate Diaz quite fits that description.

Welterweight Match [FOX3-02]
FOX / Main Card / Co-Main Event
Josh Koscheck				Johny Hendricks
WW #6 / 364 points				WW #7 / 341 points
17 - 5 - 0				12 - 1 - 0
Wins: 5 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 7 Dec				Wins: 7 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 4 Dec
Win Points: 18.62				Win Points: 18.93
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	3.23:1	3.23:1	2.31:1	Payout:	1.63:1	7.50:1	2.85:1
Max Bet:	4.48	4.48	7.63	Max Bet:	15.87	1.53	5.40

My Pick: Johny Hendricks

The "aging" vet versus the up-and-comer. With two highly skilled wrestlers, conventional wisdom is that this one will come down to striking. I think Hendricks is better and more dangerous than Koscheck when standing, and as such, I give him the edge.

Middleweight Match [FOX3-03]
FOX / Main Card
Rousimar Palhares				Alan Belcher
MW #15 / 235 points				MW #17 / 232 points
14 - 3 - 0				17 - 6 - 0
Wins: 1 (T)KO, 10 Sub, 3 Dec				Wins: 8 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 17.10				Win Points: 17.16
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	7.50:1	1.33:1	4.43:1	Payout:	2.02:1	2.31:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	1.53	17.10	2.91	Max Bet:	9.80	7.63	1.53

My Pick: Rousimar Palhares

Palhares is a potential title challenger. Belcher is a mid-pack fighter who's not going to make it to the top. Palhares takes this and continues his climb.

Heavyweight Match [FOX3-04]
FOX / Main Card
Lavar Johnson				Pat Berry
HW #47 / 67 points				HW #50 / 64 points
16 - 5 - 0				7 - 4 - 0
Wins: 14 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 0 Dec				Wins: 6 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 14.09				Win Points: 14.25
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.09:1	7.50:1	7.50:1	Payout:	1.11:1	7.50:1	6.65:1
Max Bet:	14.09	1.53	1.53	Max Bet:	14.25	1.53	1.76

My Pick: Pat Berry

This one was tough to call for me. "Big" Johnson has good knockout power and looks like a tough heavyweight. He doesn't seem to fair well when his level of competition increases. Barry has fought many better than Johnson. He's been competitive in those fights, and I foresee this fight helping move him back towards the top.

Lightweight Match [FOX3-05]
Fuel
Tony Ferguson				Michael Johnson
LW #33 / 136 points				LW #64 / 90 points
13 - 2 - 0				7 - 5 - 0
Wins: 8 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 2 Dec				Wins: 2 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 7.97				Win Points: 8.81
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.54:1	4.12:1	6.18:1	Payout:	3.33:1	1.66:1	6.65:1
Max Bet:	7.97	3.20	1.93	Max Bet:	4.29	8.81	1.76

My Pick: Tony Ferguson

A couple of lame former TUF fighters facing off. Yawn. Ferguson has had more success. I look to see that continue.

Flyweight Match [FOX3-06]
Fuel
Tim Elliott				John Dodson
FLW #7 / 53 points				BW #74 / 48 points
8 - 2 - 1				12 - 5 - 0
Wins: 3 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 1 Dec				Wins: 5 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 5 Dec
Win Points: 9.35				Win Points: 9.49
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	2.53:1	1.90:1	7.50:1	Payout:	2.28:1	5.70:1	2.28:1
Max Bet:	6.53	9.35	1.53	Max Bet:	7.81	2.12	7.81

My Pick: Tim Elliott

Elliott is more polished and has more experience at 125. Dodson annoyed me on TUF, and I'd like to see him lose.

Welterweight Match [FOX3-07]
Fuel
John Hathaway				Pascal Krauss
WW #49 / 106 points				NR / 27 points
15 - 1 - 0				10 - 0 - 0
Wins: 5 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 6 Dec				Wins: 2 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 5.24				Win Points: 6.91
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	2.85:1	3.56:1	2.38:1	Payout:	4.75:1	1.36:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	5.24	3.90	5.24	Max Bet:	2.66	6.91	1.53

My Pick: John Hathaway

Hathaway has UFC experience and has done well. Krauss is an unknown. I'll go with the fighter I know.

Flyweight Match [FOX3-08]
Fuel
John Lineker				Louis Gaudinot
BW #56 / 56 points				BW #227 / 25 points
19 - 5 - 0				5 - 2 - 0
Wins: 8 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 7 Dec, 1 Other				Wins: 2 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 5.22				Win Points: 6.28
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	2.14:1	5.70:1	2.44:1	Payout:	2.38:1	4.75:1	2.38:1
Max Bet:	5.22	2.12	5.22	Max Bet:	6.28	2.66	6.28

My Pick: John Lineker

Gaudinot has annoying green hair and is inexperienced. Lineker gets the nod.

Lightweight Match [FOX3-09]
Fuel
Danny Castillo				John Cholish
LW #42 / 108 points				LW #71 / 86 points
13 - 4 - 0				8 - 1 - 0
Wins: 5 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 4 Dec				Wins: 3 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 7.52				Win Points: 7.96
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	2.47:1	3.09:1	3.09:1	Payout:	2.53:1	1.90:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	6.80	4.78	4.78	Max Bet:	6.53	7.96	1.53

My Pick: Danny Castillo

Castillo seems like the better fighter.

Featherweight Match [FOX3-10]
Fuel
Pablo Garza				Dennis Bermudez
FW #85 / 58 points				FW #311 / 26 points
11 - 2 - 0				7 - 3 - 0
Wins: 2 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 2 Dec				Wins: 3 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 3 Dec
Win Points: 4.36				Win Points: 5.24
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	5.23:1	1.49:1	5.23:1	Payout:	2.22:1	6.65:1	2.22:1
Max Bet:	2.36	4.36	2.36	Max Bet:	5.24	1.76	5.24

My Pick: Pablo Garza

Garza has the better record.

Bantamweight Match [FOX3-11]
N/A
Nick Denis				Ronald Delorme
BW #35 / 69 points				BW #114 / 38 points
11 - 2 - 0				7 - 1 - 0
Wins: 10 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 0 Dec				Wins: 2 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 0 Dec
Win Points: 5.84				Win Points: 6.73
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	1.05:1	7.50:1	7.50:1	Payout:	3.33:1	1.33:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	5.84	1.53	1.53	Max Bet:	4.29	6.73	1.53

My Pick: Nick Denis

Once again, I pick the "Ninja of Love" to win.

Middleweight Match [FOX3-12]
N/A
Mike Massenzio				Karlos Vemola
MW #101 / 62 points				MW #131 / 34 points
13 - 6 - 0				8 - 2 - 0
Wins: 2 (T)KO, 6 Sub, 5 Dec				Wins: 4 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 0 Dec
Win Points: 3.86				Win Points: 4.45
Outcome Betting				Outcome Betting
	(T)KO	Sub	Dec		(T)KO	Sub	Dec
Payout:	6.18:1	2.06:1	2.47:1	Payout:	1.90:1	1.90:1	7.50:1
Max Bet:	1.93	3.86	3.86	Max Bet:	4.45	4.45	1.53

My Pick: Karlos Vemola

Massenzio is unimpressive and seems to be used as a stepping stone for other fighters. Vemola should be able to use him as such.

WG Predictions/Goals/Wishes Update: April

April set a new record for hits demolishing March's record by 10. All in all it was a good month. Here's how everything broke down based on my predictions, goals, and wishes at the start of the year.

• Predictions
• 13.66 Bills Entered Per Day
• I entered 539 bills in April for an average of 17.97 bills per day. This puts the yearly total to 1843 and raises the daily average to 15.23. To hit this goal, I'll have to average 12.89 for the rest of the year. Since I'm well ahead on this goal, and it appears that I'm easily going to surpass this goal, I now predict I'll enter 5500 bills this year. The predictions below will be based on this updated number.
• 1231 Hits in 2012 / 4030 Overall Hits
• I got 139 hits in April bringing the yearly total to 507 which is ahead of where I need to be for my 2012 goal. Including the new data from April, the hit prediction program from the original prediction post calculated that I'd get 900 more hits in 2012 (prior to updating the entry prediction to 5500, that number was 853). That would result in 1407 hits in 2012 and 4206 overall. My expected slugging percentage drops to 18.93% (down 0.03%) from last month mostly because the extra bills entered won't pay off until next year. Looking at the non-increase entry amount, I'd have 4159 hits at the end of the year and a 19.15% slugging percentage.
• 1015 Additional Bills with Hits in 2012 / 3445 Overall Bills with Hits
• Of the 139 hits, 116 were the initial hit on a bill putting my additional bills with hits in 2012 at 424. Using the output from the prediction program and Excel, I obtained a calculation of 743 more bills with hits (696 if not for the additional 500 entries). That would result in 1167 in 2012 and 3597 overall. That would put my expected hit rate at 16.19% (down 0.01% from last month). Without the additional entries, the prediction is 3550 bills with hits and a 16.34% hit rate.
• State Bingo Completion
• Still no new States hit.
• One Additional California County Hit in 2012 / 53 Counties Hit Overall
• No new CA counties hit in April.
• 17 Additional FRB Bingos / 57 FRB Bingos Overall
• I completed 6 additional FRB bingos in April to put my total to 50. That puts me on pace for 23 in the year which is ahead of where I need to be. With the bills I'm inserting, this one should be a slam dunk.
• No More Than 13 Hitless Days
• I had my second hitless day in April. Only two so far this year puts me ahead of where I need to be for this prediction.
• 80+ Day Hit Streak
• Completed last month with a 81 day streak. Current streak is at 27 days. Will be a while before I challenge the new record.
• Goals
• National Rank Under 1000 in November & December
• My rank was under 1000 for all of April even approached 900 at one point. I should be in fantastic shape to complete this goal.
• State Rank Under 75
• My rank has stayed in the upper 70s for most of the month dipping into the lower 70s for a few days. Seems like I should make this one, but it might be close.
• $1s Making Up >87.29% of All Entries
• I ended the month at 86.88% which puts me nearly 60% of the way to this goal. I'm still thinking this one should be a slam dunk.
• More Series 2009 Entries Than 2003A
• Lots of progress was made toward this in March, and 2003A's lead is now under 1300. I'm still ahead of pace for this one, and that pace is increasing. This one should be accomplished in 4-5 months.
• Decrease San Francisco "L" FRB Bills Below 50%
• The San Francisco percentage is now down to 49.8%. I think it will continue to decrease as my insertion rate is high, and then the key will be whether or not it stays below.
• Increase Percentage of Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St. Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J" FRB Bills
• All but Minneapolis are currently above the desired percentage. I'm still working on acquiring all the bills needed. Some are in the mail, but I'm still looking for the second set of "I" bills.
• 30 Zip Codes with 25+ Entries
• Still no progress. This one may be harder than I expected to complete.
• Wishes
• 5 Hit Bill
• No five hit bill yet.
• New Record Month for Hits
• Completed in January. Broken in March. Broken again in April. New record is 139 hits.
• Surpass 500 2006 L-L $1 Entries
• I'm now at 499 with 1 to go. I entered 6 more in April for 18 total this year. This should get completed in May.
• Surpass 400 Entries with one 2009 FRB/Block Combo and 300 with Another
• My top 2009 block is now LG with 288 entries with 29 entered in March and 123 total in 2012. LG will definitely surpass 300 and, with a couple more good months, could get to 400. LB is now second with 279 (9 in March, 44 in 2012). LB should likely hit 300. Third is still LF with 248 (17 in March, 53 in 2012). It's questionable whether or not LF will hit 300. No other series 2009 FRB/block combo has reached 200 entries.
• Complete Non-Star Portions of Series 2003A and 2006 $1 Bingo
• One more spot knocked off 2006 bingo in April: FJ. I have 6 more spots to go for each bingo. I haven't crossed off a spot on 2003A all year. This one is not going to happen.
• 4+ Year Active Bill
• Although I had a record month for hits, I didn't have much success in regards to time active. The longest active bill was re-entered 2 Years 313 Days 18 Hours 5 Minutes after I entered it for my 13th longest active bill. Not getting close on this one.