My Where's George Week in Review: 04/21/13 - 04/27/13

Hover over this explanation for more detailsThe nerd that I am, I chose to post once a week a summary of my previous week's Where's George activity in comparision to my goals for the year.

In order to make the charts fit, I had to abreviate the column headers. Each header is hoverable for an explanation.

In the past week, I got 36 hits in 6 States [AZ, CA³⁰, NE, OH, PA, WA²]. Of those hits, 1 was the 3^rd hit on the bill, 7 were the 2^nd hit on the bill, and the rest (28) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

Sunday	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday
21	22	23	24	25	26	27
6	4	7	4	6	6	3

I came into the week with a 72 day hit streak. I got a hit on every day of this week which extended the streak to 79 days: good for a tie for my 3^rd longest streak all-time. Here's a look at my all-time ten longest hit streaks:

Rank	Start Date	End Date	Days		Rank	Start Date	End Date	Days
1.	10/07/2012	01/02/2013	88		6.	09/26/2011	11/18/2011	54
2.	12/28/2011	03/17/2012	81		7.	06/24/2012	08/16/2012	54
3.	04/13/2011	06/30/2011	79		8.	04/04/2012	05/21/2012	48
4.	02/08/2013	04/27/2013	79		9.	01/04/2013	02/06/2013	34
5.	07/28/2011	09/23/2011	58		10.	07/21/2010	08/21/2010	32

Of the 6 States in which I received hits this past week, none were the first hit for that State in 2013. Overall I've received hits in 32 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0       51

Previous Still Needed for Goal Beyond Goal

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 3 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 513. The newly hit counties were Seward NE, Muskingum OH, Walla Walla WA. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483       581

Previous New Still Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 4 Years 43 Days 21 Hours 25 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 6^th on my all-time longest active list. My top ten longest active bills list is now:

Rank	Bill Info			Time Active	Last Update	Hits
1.	$10	2003	DL947---91A	4 Years 238 Days 13 Hours 41 Minutes	03/08/2013	2
2.	$1	2003A	L4532---3K	4 Years 200 Days 22 Minutes	10/12/2012	1
3.	$1	2003A	L3475---2C	4 Years 165 Days 9 Hours 56 Minutes	02/04/2013	2
4.	$10	2006	IB188---86B	4 Years 103 Days 18 Hours 40 Minutes	03/20/2013	1
5.	$5	2003	DL906---99C	4 Years 56 Days 48 Minutes	09/11/2012	1
6.	$1	2003A	L6163---1M	4 Years 43 Days 21 Hours 25 Minutes	04/23/2013	2
7.	$1	2006	H9275---2A	4 Years 17 Days 1 Minute	09/14/2012	2
8.	$1	2006	L5563---1A	4 Years 13 Days 12 Hours 43 Minutes	04/06/2013	1
9.	$1	2006	I8453---4A	4 Years 12 Days 21 Hours 41 Minutes	02/15/2013	1
10.	$1	2006	I8180---6A	4 Years 9 Days 5 Hours 28 Minutes	03/30/2013	3

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	PPrediction (for Year)	P/WPrediction for Week: A Week's Share of the Total	PtDPrediction to Date: The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far	WvPWeek versus Prediction: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W	DvPDate versus Prediction: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered	22920	24837	24974	137	2054	28920	115.1	24843	+22	+131
Bills with Hits	3704	4090	4118	28	414	5074	26.3	4143	+2	-25
Total Hits	4330	4809	4845	36	515	6030	32.6	4875	+3	-30

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 6408 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 111.4 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.09% [+0.45%].

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	GGoal: Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year	GfWGoal for Week: This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week	GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal	WvGWeek versus Goal: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered	20086	21872	21999	127	1913	25634	126.7	21986	+0	+13
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 6407.77777777778 entries this year rather than 6000						25995	126.3	21981	+1	+18

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

	SoYStart of Year	SoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of Year	SoWStart of Week	SoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of Week	EoWEnd of Week	EoW%Percentage of Overall at End of Week	G%Goal Percentage	GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD	#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"	781	3.41%	854	3.44%	863	3.46%	3.51%	861	+2	39
New York "B"	1691	7.38%	1883	7.58%	1891	7.57%	7.58%	1862	+29	26
Philadelphia "C"	656	2.86%	727	2.93%	729	2.92%	2.96%	725	+4	21
Cleveland "D"	819	3.57%	907	3.65%	909	3.64%	3.67%	903	+6	0
Richmond "E"	1569	6.85%	1728	6.96%	1739	6.96%	7.05%	1729	+10	2
Atlanta "F"	2096	9.14%	2318	9.33%	2335	9.35%	9.64%	2331	+4	13
Chicago "G"	1502	6.55%	1647	6.63%	1664	6.66%	6.75%	1656	+8	6
St. Louis "H"	740	3.23%	810	3.26%	815	3.26%	3.33%	816	-1	20
Minneapolis "I"	602	2.63%	662	2.67%	667	2.67%	2.73%	666	+1	47
Kansas City "J"	558	2.43%	611	2.46%	616	2.47%	2.53%	618	-2	43
Dallas "K"	953	4.16%	1051	4.23%	1056	4.23%	4.36%	1058	-2	38

At this point in the year, if I've entered 32 bills for a particular FRB than I'm on pace to enter 100 bills for that FRB.

I found a new wild this past week. It traveled 129 Days 9 Hours 5 Minutes to me from Campbell, CA. Here's a look at that bill:

Another good week stat-wise. April is in range to potentially be my best hit month ever: it's already guaranteed to be second.

My UFC 159 Fight Picks

In the past three UFC events, there have only been two upsets. Last week, the couple upsets worked out in my favor and I gained a few points on the league leader. This week I'm not seeing any compelling underdogs, and I've actually picked all the favorites. Seems cheap, but there's a lot of one-sided affairs in this event.

Featherweight Match [UFC159-12]
N/A
Match Points: 5.02
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
FW #46	Steven Siler (21-10)	-131	3.83	8.85
LW #194	Kurt Holobaugh (9-1)	+107	5.37	10.39

Siler and Holobaugh are both coming off of losses, but Siler had 3 wins in the UFC prior to that loss. I think experience will win out here, so I'm going with the "Super" one.

Welterweight Match [UFC159-11]
N/A
Match Points: 5.34
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
WW #31	James Head (9-3)	-160	3.34	8.68
WW #341	Nick Catone (9-4)	+134	7.16	12.50

Catone missed 170 by a good three pounds at weigh ins, and I'm guessing he's going to be suffering from a tough weight cut. Not a good way to start off his drop to welterweight. I'll go with Head who should be in better shape.

Featherweight Match [UFC159-10]
N/A
Match Points: 3.10
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
FW #155	Leonard Garcia (15-10-1)	-174	1.78	4.88
FW #166	Cody McKenzie (13-3)	+149	4.62	7.72

I so do not want to be picking Garcia here, but McKenzie hasn't been that good since winning The Ultimate Fighter. Garcia's wild style wins him points with the judges, and I think there's a good chance that Cody will be overwhelmed by the onslaught.

Bantamweight Match [UFC159-09]
FX
Match Points: 12.18
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
BW #21	Bryan Caraway (17-6)	+117	14.25	26.43
BW #29	Johnny Bedford (19-9-1)	-141	8.64	20.82

Caraway is a late replacement in this fight and is coming off of a hard fought split decision loss last month. I have a hard time believe he's ready for this fight. Bedford's main weakness is to submissions (Caraway's speciality). Regardless, I think the readiness factor will put this in Bedford's favor.

Bantamweight Match [UFC159-08]
FX
Match Points: 14.46
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
W135 #5	Sara McMann (6-0)	-702	2.06	16.52
W125 #5	Sheila Gaff (10-4-1)	+477	68.97	83.43

The third woman's UFC bout ever. McMann is a former Olympian, and the UFC surely wants to eventually have an Olympian vs Olympian match between her and Rousey (even better if both are still undefeated). Gaff was fighting at flyweight prior to signing with the UFC and will be the smaller fighter in this match. I'll go with the undefeated favorite.

Light Heavyweight Match [UFC159-07]
FX
Match Points: 9.99
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
LHW #44	Ovince St. Preux (12-5)	-201	4.97	14.96
LHW #59	Gian Villante (10-3)	+166	16.58	26.57

A battle between two Strikeforce imports. St. Preux had a strong run in the Strikeforce light heavyweight division and is looking to make his mark in the UFC. Villante is on a three fight win streak but has definitely not taken on as strong of competition. I'll take the favorite.

Lightweight Match [UFC159-06]
FX
Match Points: 5.87
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
LW #127	Rustam Khabilov (15-1)	-308	1.91	7.78
NR	Yancy Medeiros (9-0)	+246	14.44	20.31

I'm not familiar with either of the two which is surprising as this is the FX "main event". The favorite has UFC experience whlie the underdog doesn't, and that's the deciding factor for me.

Lightweight Match [UFC159-05]
PPV / Main Card
Match Points: 18.47
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
LW #12	Jim Miller (22-4)	-323	5.72	24.19
LW #14	Pat Healy (29-16)	+255	47.10	65.57

Healy was approaching the top of the heap in Strikeforce when it was merged into the UFC. Miller's been near the top of the UFC for a few years now. And while the Strikeforce vs UFC lightweight fights last week were split, Miller's going to show how much deeper the UFC's division was.

Light Heavyweight Match [UFC159-04]
PPV / Main Card
Match Points: 17.51
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
LHW #15	Phil Davis (10-1, 1 NC)	-329	5.32	22.83
LHW #29	Vinny Magalhaes (10-5, 1 NC)	+262	45.88	63.39

Vinny is in his second stint in the UFC, and I'm not sure why he's already getting a test as tough as this one in the form of Mr. Wonderful. Phil "Pink Shorts" Davis takes this one without exerting much effort.

Heavyweight Match [UFC159-03]
PPV / Main Card
Match Points: 18.35
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
HW #12	Roy Nelson (18-7)	-239	7.68	26.03
HW #16	Cheick Kongo (18-7-2)	+194	35.60	53.95

Big Country has only been knocked out once and it's very unlikely Kongo will be the second to accomplish that. Cheick is also unlikely to be able to impose his will on Nelson and hold him against the fence for three rounds. Roy will win by KO and put himself back in the title conversation.

Middleweight Match [UFC159-02]
PPV / Main Card / Co-Main Event
Match Points: 18.86
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
MW #11	Michael Bisping (23-5)	-171	11.03	29.89
MW #17	Alan Belcher (18-7)	+145	27.35	46.21

Bisping is an overrated prick. I so totally want to pick Belcher here. However, I've been burned a number of times this year by picking the guy I wanted to win. Sadly I think I have to go with "The Count" here.

Light Heavyweight Match [UFC159-01]
PPV / Main Card / Main Event / Championship
Match Points: 23.86
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
LHW #1	Jon Jones (17-1)	-909	2.62	26.48
MW #3	Chael Sonnen (27-12-1)	+624	148.89	172.75

There's not much to really say about this match. For those that are upset that the featherweight title is going to be defended against lightweights twice in a row should be even more upset about a second striaght middleweight challenging for the light heavyweight title. Regardless of what Dana White says, Chael doesn't desire this title shot and there's little hope for him here.

My Where's George Week in Review: 04/14/13 - 04/20/13

Hover over this explanation for more detailsThe nerd that I am, I chose to post once a week a summary of my previous week's Where's George activity in comparision to my goals for the year.

In order to make the charts fit, I had to abreviate the column headers. Each header is hoverable for an explanation.

In the past week, I got 39 hits in 10 States [CA³⁰, GA, IL, ND, NV, OH, OR, PA, TX, WA]. Of those hits, 4 were the 3^rd hit on the bill, 5 were the 2^nd hit on the bill, and the rest (30) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

Sunday	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday
14	15	16	17	18	19	20
5	7	4	7	5	5	6

I came into the week with a 65 day hit streak. I got a hit on every day of this week which extended the streak to 72 days: good for my 4^th longest streak all-time. Here's a look at my all-time ten longest hit streaks:

Rank	Start Date	End Date	Days		Rank	Start Date	End Date	Days
1.	10/07/2012	01/02/2013	88		6.	09/26/2011	11/18/2011	54
2.	12/28/2011	03/17/2012	81		7.	06/24/2012	08/16/2012	54
3.	04/13/2011	06/30/2011	79		8.	04/04/2012	05/21/2012	48
4.	02/08/2013	04/20/2013	72		9.	01/04/2013	02/06/2013	34
5.	07/28/2011	09/23/2011	58		10.	07/21/2010	08/21/2010	32

Of the 10 States in which I received hits this past week, 1 were the first hit for that State in 2013: North Dakato. Overall I've received hits in 32 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0         51

Previous New Still Needed for Goal Beyond Goal

The hit in North Dakota was my first since July of 2010. Of the States in which I've gotten hits (all but West Virginia), only Alaska had a longer time span without a hit. The hit in Pennsyvania was my first since January of 2013.

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 2 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 510. The newly hit counties were Clinton IL and Jefferson OR. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483       581

Previous New Still Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 3 Years 99 Days 18 Hours 10 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 42^nd on my all-time longest active list.

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	PPrediction (for Year)	P/WPrediction for Week: A Week's Share of the Total	PtDPrediction to Date: The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far	WvPWeek versus Prediction: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W	DvPDate versus Prediction: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered	22920	24668	24837	169	1917	28920	115.1	24728	+54	+109
Bills with Hits	3704	4060	4090	30	386	5074	26.3	4117	+4	-27
Total Hits	4330	4770	4809	39	479	6030	32.6	4842	+6	-33

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 6361 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 112.1 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.06% [+0.43%].

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	GGoal: Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year	GfWGoal for Week: This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week	GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal	WvGWeek versus Goal: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered	20086	21717	21872	155	1786	25634	156.3	21859	-1	+13
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 6360.95454545455 entries this year rather than 6000						25954	155.9	21855	-1	+17

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

	SoYStart of Year	SoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of Year	SoWStart of Week	SoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of Week	EoWEnd of Week	EoW%Percentage of Overall at End of Week	G%Goal Percentage	GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD	#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"	781	3.41%	849	3.44%	854	3.44%	3.51%	856	-2	35
New York "B"	1691	7.38%	1869	7.58%	1883	7.58%	7.58%	1851	+32	26
Philadelphia "C"	656	2.86%	725	2.94%	727	2.93%	2.96%	720	+7	21
Cleveland "D"	819	3.57%	900	3.65%	907	3.65%	3.67%	897	+10	0
Richmond "E"	1569	6.85%	1710	6.93%	1728	6.96%	7.05%	1719	+9	2
Atlanta "F"	2096	9.14%	2308	9.36%	2318	9.33%	9.64%	2316	+2	11
Chicago "G"	1502	6.55%	1640	6.65%	1647	6.63%	6.75%	1646	+1	4
St. Louis "H"	740	3.23%	807	3.27%	810	3.26%	3.33%	811	-1	17
Minneapolis "I"	602	2.63%	654	2.65%	662	2.67%	2.73%	662	0	45
Kansas City "J"	558	2.43%	609	2.47%	611	2.46%	2.53%	614	-3	39
Dallas "K"	953	4.16%	1043	4.23%	1051	4.23%	4.36%	1051	0	36

Yet another good week statistically for me in regards to Where's George. April has been a fantastic month so far, and I look forward to that continuing.

My UFC on FOX 7 Fight Picks

I'll be attending this show, and I'm looking forward to it. The main and co-main events are fights I definitely want to see.

I'm not doing so well in my fantasy league this year: I'm in last and already 200 points behind. While it's still early, I think it's time to take some more risks and try to gain ground. The leader of the pack almost always picks the favorites, so I'm going to have to gamble quite a bit on big underdogs.

Middleweight Match [FOX7-12]
N/A
Match Points: 2.81
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
MW #132	Clifford Starks (8-1)	+130	3.65	6.46
NR	Yoel Romero Palacio (4-1)	-161	1.75	4.56

I was in the arena when Starks got his only UFC win. I don't recall being impressed. Neither has done that well on the big stage. I'll stick with the favorite on this one.

Lightweight Match [FOX7-11]
N/A
Match Points: 4.19
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
LW #92	Anthony Njokuani (15-7, 1 NC)	-175	2.39	6.58
WW #136	Roger Bowling (11-3)	+144	6.03	10.22

Both fighters have had ups and downs in their recent fights. Njokuani's have come in the UFC while Bowling's have been in Strike Force. I'll again go with the favorite who happens to have a number of UFC fights under his belt.

Bantamweight Match [FOX7-10]
FX
Match Points: 10.54
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
BW #37	T.J. Dillashaw (7-1)	-406	2.60	13.14
BW #51	Hugo Viana (7-0)	+307	32.36	42.90

Viana is a perfect 7-0, but he only has one finish (however, it was in his sole UFC fight). As much as I'd like to pick the underdog here, I think I have to go with Dillashaw.

Lightweight Match [FOX7-09]
FX
Match Points: 11.96
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
LW #20	Jorge Masvidal (23-7)	-153	7.82	19.78
LW #35	Tim Means (18-3-1)	+123	14.71	26.67

This card is littered with Strikeforce versus UFC fights, and many of those seem to be favoring the "invaders". This is the first such fight on the card. The Strikeforce guys have pulled off some upsets so far. This fight, it's the UFC's turn.

Flyweight Match [FOX7-08]
FX
Match Points: 14.53
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
FLW #2	Joseph Benavidez (17-3)	-528	2.75	17.28
FLW #7	Darren Uyenoyama (8-3)	+376	54.63	69.16

Benavidez has only lost three fights to two different fighters: Dominick Cruz and Demetrious Johnson. And the Mighty Mouse fight was a close split decision. Benevidez only loses to guys at the top, and Uyenoyama doesn't match that description.

Lightweight Match [FOX7-07]
FX
Match Points: 9.75
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
LW #25	Myles Jury (11-0)	-284	3.43	13.18
LW #106	Ramsey Nijem (7-2)	+218	21.26	31.01

Jury is a perfect 11-0, and easily dispatched of Michael Johnson in his last fight. Ramsey is on a roll after losing out in the TUF 13 finale. I see this one as a toss up, so I'll take the underdog and try to make up some points.

Middleweight Match [FOX7-06]
FX
Match Points: 12.18
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
MW #21	Lorenz Larkin (13-0, 1 NC)	+115	14.01	26.19
MW #29	Francis Carmont (20-7)	-146	8.34	20.52

Larkin's sole loss was overturned by the commission when his opponent failed his drug test. Carmont's another fighter that I've seen live and wasn't impressed. The underdog is more attractive of a pick here in my opinion.

Featherweight Match [FOX7-05]
FX
Match Points: 13.47
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
FW #11	Chad Mendes (13-1)	-671	2.01	15.48
FW #15	Darren Elkins (16-2)	+448	60.35	73.82

Mendes has been on fire since his loss to the champ dispatching both of his opponents in less than a combined 2 minutes. Elkins just fought in March and is stepping in for an injured Clay Guida. "Money" is likely to win this one, but since I'm quite a bit behind in the standings, I'm taking the risk on the underdog to try to make up some points.

Welterweight Match [FOX7-04]
FOX / Main Card
Match Points: 16.07
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
WW #15	Jordan Mein (27-8)	-356	4.51	20.58
WW #39	Matt Brown (16-11)	+268	43.07	59.14

Mein is in a similar situation as Elkins: fought last month and is stepping in (although not on that short of notice) for an injuried fighter. Brown seems to have turned things around as of late and is riding a four fight win streak. Mein is part of the future of the division, however, Brown has yet to be knocked out (Mein's top way to victory). I'll once again take the underdog in an effort to catch up.

Lightweight Match [FOX7-03]
FOX / Main Card
Match Points: 17.73
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
LW #6	Nate Diaz (16-8)	-201	8.82	26.55
LW #16	Josh Thomson (19-5, 1 NC)	+166	29.43	47.16

Both fighters are coming off of title fight losses. Rumors are that Diaz is moving up to welterweight after this fight and had a hard weight cut. Again, I think Nate probably wins this one, but I could see him falling victim to a let down after his performance in the title fight and with a potential move up in weight, there's not a lot to gain here. I again take the underdog.

Heavyweight Match [FOX7-02]
FOX / Main Card / Co-Main Event
Match Points: 18.90
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
HW #4	Daniel Cormier (11-0)	-426	4.44	23.34
HW #7	Frank Mir (16-6)	+328	61.99	80.89

Cormier is seems like the wrong style matchup for Mir, and Mir is similar to Barneet with whom Cormier had no problems. Add the fact that the guy leading the league might take Mir (which would screw me if Mir wins), and I'll take DC.

Lightweight Match [FOX7-01]
FOX / Main Card / Main Event / Championship
Match Points: 22.93
Rank	Fighter	Line	Points	Total
LW #1	Ben Henderson (18-2)	-281	8.16	31.09
LW #2	Gilbert Melendez (21-2)	+227	52.05	74.98

I'm a fan of Benson Henderson. Not so much of Melendez. Frankly, I thought Gilbert lost to Thomson in his final Strikeforce title defense. This is Gil's chance to finally prove that he is elite, but I think that instead we will find out that he's a bit overrated. Smooth cruises to an easy decision.

Rankings & What's Next: UFC Welterweights

At the start of February, the UFC starting publishing media voted fighter rankings. At that time, I wrote a post comparing the UFC's rankings with those of Fight Matrix which uses a computer program to rank fighters. At the time I used a set of rules for determining who got the next title fight and who would take part in the next #1 contender match. Those rules were:

• The next title contender would be the highest ranked fighter that:
  • Won two fights in a row.
  • Won three fights since his last loss in a title fight or against the current champion unless he's a former champion that successfully defended the belt.
  • Won five fights in a row if his number of losses against the current champion is two greater than his number of wins.
• The next #1 contender match would be between the next two highest ranked fighters that:
  • Won his last fight.
  • Won two fights since his last loss in a title fight or against the current champion unless he's a former champion that successfully defended the belt.
  • Won four fights in a row if his number of losses against the current champion is two greater than his number of wins.

At the time, I broke down the rankings division-by-division to identify the next title contender and #1 contenders match participants for each division based on both of the rankings. Fighters don't fight enough to require reviewing that frequently, but I thought breaking down each division might be. As such, I've decided to do a division-by-division look at what I think should happen next. Along with the UFC and Fight Matrix rankings mentioned above, I'll also be using the rankings from Sherdog and MMA Weekly: two sites I also frequently visit for MMA news. I'll be combining the rankings from the four to get a "unified" ranking.

A few caveats must be noted before I proceed. The UFC rankings essentially have the champion at position 0. I'll be considering the champion rank 1 and move down the other fighters in the rankings respectively. The other rankings include non-UFC fighters. For Fight Matrx, the rankings are deep enough to grab a UFC top 10. Sherdog includes an "other contenders" section. In the event the top 10 includes non-UFC fighters, the "other contenders" from the UFC will be considered as tied for the bottom spot(s) and will split points accordingly. For Fight Matrix, Sherdog, and MMA Weekly, the actual ranking position will be noted when it doesn't match the used position.

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Combined Rankings

		UFC			Fight Matrix			Sherdog			MMA Weekly
Last Update:		04/15/2013			04/14/2013			03/18/2013			04/16/2013
1.	Georges St-Pierre		1	(0)		1			1			1
2.	Johny Hendricks		2	(1)		2			2			2
3.	Carlos Condit		3	(2)		5			3			3
4.	Jake Ellenberger		5	(4)		3			7	(8)		5
5.	Demian Maia		6	(5)		4			5			7
6.	Martin Kampmann		8	(7)		6			6	(7)		4
7.	Rory MacDonald		4	(3)		8	(9)		8	(10)		6
8.	Nick Diaz		7	(6)		7			4			9
9.	Robbie Lawler		10	(9)		9	(10)		T9	(OC)		8
10.	Tarec Saffiedine		9	(8)		10	(11)		T9	(OC)
	Josh Koscheck								T9	(OC)		10
	Nate Marquardt								T9	(OC)
	Mike Pierce								T9	(OC)

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Matches I'd Make

As with the lightweights, the #2 welterweight, Johny Hendricks, qualifies for the next title shot, so he gets GSP next. Jake Ellenberger and Demian Maia are the highest rated fighters that qualify for the #1 contenders match, so they'll face off for the next shot at welterweight gold. There are three other fighters in the top ten coming off of a win: Rory MacDonald, Robbie Lawler, and Tarec Saffiedine. Of the three guys ranked that didn't make the combined top ten, only Mike Pierce is coming off of a win. I'll match up MacDonald with Lawler and Saffiedine with Pierce knowing that the winners will likely face off in the next contenders match. As for those coming off of a loss, there is the possibility of matching up Carlos Condit and Nick Diaz in a rematch of their highly disputed interim title match. Diaz doesn't seem to be interested in any opponents other than GSP or Anderson Silva. As such, I'll match up Condit with Martin Kampmann (a rematch of their close split decision fight from a few years ago). Then I'd offer Diaz a fight with Josh Koscheck. If he didn't take it, I'd give that fight to Marquardt instead.

Matches the UFC has Made

Hendricks is the current #1 contender, but no match date has been set yet as GSP will be off for a bit to act in the Captain America sequel. Ellenberger has been matched up with MacDonald. Lawler will be taking on Saffiedine next in a bout between Strikeforce imports. Pierce has been matched up with the much lower ranked David Mitchell.

Matches I'd Add to the UFC's

Maia's the only member of the top ten coming off of a win without an opponent. There are really three potentials for him: the winner of Mike Pyle/Rick Story, the winner of Tyron Woodley/Jake Shields, or the winner of Jordan Mein/Matt Brown. If Mein wins this weekend, I'd match those two up. Otherwise, I'd give him the Pyle/Story winner.

As for those coming off of a loss, all of my matches are still possible, so I'd switch with Condit/Kampmann and Koscheck/Diaz (or Marquardt).

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Seems unfortunate for the division that the title is back on hold while GSP films a movie. Wouldn't be so bad had the division not yet had to suffer through roughly a year and a half without him.

Of the divisions covered so far, I expect that this one will see the biggest change in the makeup of the top ten over the next year. There are quite a few contenders knocking on the door, and I wouldn't be surprised if we didn't see one of the fighters from this list get cut before the year is out.

The Week That Was: Weight Management & Running

Diet fatigue is hitting me hard now. Knowing that I have a few vacations coming up that will make it hard to stick to a calorie budget certainly doesn't help either. I try to convince myself that if I made a hard push now I could make my goal beforehand, but regardless, I'd probably have some work to do after to get back to the goal.

Starting off with Weight Management, I burned even less calories than last week (1519) but ended the week 204 calorie below budget, so this week I didn't eat back more than I burned. If you add that deficit to my expected ½ pound a week loss, you'd expect that I'd lose 0.6 pounds. Here's my actual results:

	Avg	Min	Max	Last	Avg H20	Avg Fat
04/01-04/08	172.5	170.6	173.6	173.2	97.7	38.6
04/08-04/15	172.4	171.4	173.4	172.8	97.7	38.4
	-0.1	+0.8	-0.2	-0.4	0.0	-0.2

Well, I didn't hit expectations, but at least, my weight was down (ok, yeah, not by much). Results like these are fueling the fatigue. I'm trying to be positive, but it's hard.

Moving onto running, I had planned to get back into things, but work got in the way early in the week, and late into the week, I convinced myself to do the Sacramento Zoo Zoom instead. Since I set a new PR, I'm glad I did, but I need to get back into training this week. Here's my mileage for the week:

M	T	W	R	F	S	S
						6.24
Total Mileage: 6.24

This is the most I've fallen short of my weekly mileage goal this year:

Miles Ran Short of Goal 16 Mile Goal Miles to Max

And here's a look at my progress towards my goal of 800 miles ran this year:

Previous This Week 800 Miles 1000 Miles

I've completed 264.02 miles so far this year and am on track to complete 927 miles in 2013. My legs feel a bit sore from the Zoo Zoom, but hopefully light training will not be too much for them.

Sacramento Zoo Zoom

Based on the success of my performance in the Credit Union SacTown Ten Miler, I started thinking I should run the Sacramento Zoo Zoom to set a new 10K personal record. When the weather forecast predicted that it would be cool, I knew the conditions were ideal, and that I had to go for it. Add the motivation from missing the race after signing up last year due to illness, there was no turning back.

The race day schedule was a bit odd: the 5K started at 8:00 with the 10K going at 9:00. Turns out that they wanted all of the 5Kers off of the course before starting the 10K (the 10K course was two loops of the 5K). Not sure why we couldn't share the course, but it was nice to not have to worry about wide patches of walkers blocking the way near the finish ... especially when chasing down a PR.

The course was advertised as "flat and fast" and boy was it ever. There was a grand total of 31 feet of elevation change according to my GPS watch (just slightly less than the SacTown Ten Miler now that I check the data).

Speaking of my GPS watch, I think the tree that lined the park we ran around playing havoc with the satellite reception resulting in some weird reading during the run. While I love my GPS watch, I wonder if it's resulted in me being too focused on current pace and less focused on enjoying the run. I'm hoping eventually to balance out the two.

Regardless, I got off to too quick of a start and had to slow myself down midway into the first mile. I still kept going a bit too quick in mile two, but then I settled in. I was targeting averaging 8:15/mile but just needed 8:21.8 to set a PR. I didn't have any miles slower than the 8:21.8, and four of my six miles were faster than 8:15. Here's the breakout of my run:

	Pace		+/-
Mile	Target	Actual	Mile	Overall
1	08:21.8	08:08.9	+12.9	+12.9
2	08:21.8	08:05.3	+16.5	+29.4
3	08:21.8	08:11.3	+10.5	+39.9
4	08:21.8	08:17.0	+4.8	+44.7
5	08:21.8	08:19.4	+2.4	+47.1
6	08:21.8	08:11.9	+9.9	+57.0
+	01:47.2	01:34.7	+12.5	+69.5

The final 0.2 miles I averaged a 6:40/mile pace which I found surprising since I wouldn't have thought that I'd have that much left in me. Here's the badge for this race:

Along with being my new 10K personal record, this is also the fastest pace with which I've completed a race (faster than my 5K PR). Makes me want to take on a 5K to see how much I can improve on my time and best pace.

A few nice things about the Zoo Zoom that I failed to mention above: They set up markers at the start to indicate where people who were targeting certain paces (6 min/mile, 8, 10, 12, walkers). I appreciate this as I think it makes the start go better although not everyone pays attention and lines up right. For the 5K, they had pacers for each minute per mile target (and the pacers were dressed as zoo animals). Also they announced your name as you crossed the finish line which is always a nice touch.

My Where's George Week in Review: 04/07/13 - 04/13/13

Hover over this explanation for more detailsThe nerd that I am, I chose to post once a week a summary of my previous week's Where's George activity in comparision to my goals for the year.

In order to make the charts fit, I had to abreviate the column headers. Each header is hoverable for an explanation.

In the past week, I got 38 hits in 6 States [AZ, CA²⁷, MO², NJ³, TX³, WA] as well as an international hit in London, United Kingdom. Of those hits, 1 was the 5^th hit on the bill (my first five hitter!), 2 were the 3^rd hit on the bill, 5 were the 2^nd hit on the bill, and the rest (30) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

Sunday	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday
07	08	09	10	11	12	13
8	2	8	3	6	5	6

I came into the week with a 58 day hit streak. I got a hit on every day of this week which extended the streak to 65 days: good for my 4^th longest streak all-time. Here's a look at my all-time ten longest hit streaks:

Rank	Start Date	End Date	Days		Rank	Start Date	End Date	Days
1.	10/07/2012	01/02/2013	88		6.	09/26/2011	11/18/2011	54
2.	12/28/2011	03/17/2012	81		7.	06/24/2012	08/16/2012	54
3.	04/13/2011	06/30/2011	79		8.	04/04/2012	05/21/2012	48
4.	02/08/2013	04/13/2013	65		9.	01/04/2013	02/06/2013	34
5.	07/28/2011	09/23/2011	58		10.	07/21/2010	08/21/2010	32

Of the 6 States in which I received hits this past week, none were the first hit for that State in 2013. Overall I've received hits in 31 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0       51

Previous Still Needed for Goal Beyond Goal

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 4 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 508. The newly hit counties were Cape May NJ, Monmouth NJ, Glasscock TX, Whatcom WA. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483       581

Previous New Still Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 3 Years 356 Days 14 Hours 36 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 13^th on my all-time longest active list.

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	PPrediction (for Year)	P/WPrediction for Week: A Week's Share of the Total	PtDPrediction to Date: The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far	WvPWeek versus Prediction: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W	DvPDate versus Prediction: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered	22920	24540	24668	128	1748	28920	115.1	24613	+13	+55
Bills with Hits	3704	4030	4060	30	356	5074	26.3	4091	+4	-31
Total Hits	4330	4732	4770	38	440	6030	32.6	4810	+5	-40

A good week for all three stats. Nice to have bills with hits and total hits take a nice bite out of my current deficit.

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 6194 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 113.6 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.04% [+0.40%].

	SoYStart of Year	SoWStart of Week	EoWEnd of Week	WΔWeek Change: Number Added this Week	YΔYear Change: Number Added this Year	GGoal: Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year	GfWGoal for Week: This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week	GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal	WvGWeek versus Goal: How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered	20086	21598	21717	119	1631	25634	118.4	21703	+1	+14
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 6194.36893203884 entries this year rather than 6000						25806	118.2	21701	+1	+16

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

	SoYStart of Year	SoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of Year	SoWStart of Week	SoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of Week	EoWEnd of Week	EoW%Percentage of Overall at End of Week	G%Goal Percentage	GtDGoal to Date: The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal	DvGDate versus Goal: How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD	#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"	781	3.41%	842	3.43%	849	3.44%	3.51%	850	-1	32
New York "B"	1691	7.38%	1852	7.55%	1869	7.58%	7.58%	1837	+32	26
Philadelphia "C"	656	2.86%	719	2.93%	725	2.94%	2.96%	715	+10	21
Cleveland "D"	819	3.57%	897	3.66%	900	3.65%	3.67%	890	+10	0
Richmond "E"	1569	6.85%	1700	6.93%	1710	6.93%	7.05%	1706	+4	2
Atlanta "F"	2096	9.14%	2293	9.34%	2308	9.36%	9.64%	2298	+10	11
Chicago "G"	1502	6.55%	1630	6.64%	1640	6.65%	6.75%	1634	+6	4
St. Louis "H"	740	3.23%	803	3.27%	807	3.27%	3.33%	805	+2	17
Minneapolis "I"	602	2.63%	650	2.65%	654	2.65%	2.73%	657	-3	41
Kansas City "J"	558	2.43%	603	2.46%	609	2.47%	2.53%	609	0	38
Dallas "K"	953	4.16%	1038	4.23%	1043	4.23%	4.36%	1043	0	34

This week I got my 49^th two hit/three State bill which traveled from California -> Oregon -> Washington.

What a great week of results in regards to Where's George! This seems like it must have been one of my best weeks of all-time. I've probably only had a couple weeks with more hits. Add the excitement of my first five hit bill, and international hit, and another two hit/three State, and you've got quite the week.