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Wednesday, October 3, 2012

WG Predictions/Goals/Wishes Update: September

September was a nice recovery from the disappointment of August as I received my fourth most hits in a month all-time as well as a couple more 4+ years active bills. Here's hoping this continues in October.

  • Predictions
    • 13.66 Bills Entered Per Day
      • I entered 711 bills in September for an average of 23.70 bills per day. This puts the yearly total to 4969 and increases the daily average to 18.14. To hit this goal, I'll just have to average 0.34 for the rest of the year. As I continue to be well ahead of this goal, I'm keeping my prediction of 6000 bills from last month. The predictions below will be based on this updated number.
    • 1231 Hits in 2012 / 4030 Overall Hits
      • I got 136 hits in September bringing the yearly total to 1164 which is ahead of where I need to be for my 2012 goal. Including the new data from August, the hit prediction program from the original prediction post calculated that I'd get 364 more hits in 2012. That would result in 1528 hits in 2012 and 4327 overall. My expected slugging percentage would be 19.04% (up 0.07% from last month).
    • 1015 Additional Bills with Hits in 2012 / 3445 Overall Bills with Hits
      • Of the 136 hits, 117 were the initial hit on a bill putting my additional bills with hits in 2012 at 972. Using the output from the prediction program and Excel, I obtained a calculation of 288 more bills with hits. That would result in 1260 in 2012 and 3690 overall. That would put my expected hit rate at 16.24% (up 0.06% from last month).
    • State Bingo Completion
      • Still waiting on West Virginia. With it now being three-fourths of the way through the year, I'm starting to lose hope.
    • One Additional California County Hit in 2012 / 53 Counties Hit Overall
      • Completed in May. Additional county added in August. None new in September.
    • 17 Additional FRB Bingos / 57 FRB Bingos Overall
      • Completed in June. I completed 3 additional FRB bingos in Septmeber to put my total to 64. That puts me on pace for 31 in the year which would suggest I'll end the year with 71.
    • No More Than 13 Hitless Days
      • I had one hitless day in September. With just 6 so far this year, I'm in really good shape on this one.
    • 80+ Day Hit Streak
      • Already completed (81 day streak). Current streak is at 26 days.
  • Goals
    • National Rank Under 1000 in November & December
      • I was never higher than 825 in September and even spent some time in the high 700s. This is looking like a slam dunk.
    • State Rank Under 75
      • My rank peaked at 66 in September and hit a low of 60. I'm in really good shape for this one.
    • $1s Making Up >87.29% of All Entries
      • I ended the month at 87.31% (up 0.25% from last month). Assuming I don't go on a massive spree of entering non-ones, this one is in the books.
    • More Series 2009 Entries Than 2003A
      • Completed in August. 2009 is even more in the lead now.
    • Decrease San Francisco "L" FRB Bills Below 50%
      • The San Francisco percentage is now down to 47.8%. I'm just about done with the bill insertions, so we'll see if this stays under in the last quarter of the year..
    • Increase Percentage of Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St. Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J" FRB Bills
      • All are currently above the desired percentage.
    • 30 Zip Codes with 25+ Entries
      • One new zip code added in September putting my at 28 zip codes with 25+ entries. Not sure where I'm going to get another 2.
  • Wishes
    • 5 Hit Bill
      • No five hit bill yet. Got my second four hit bill of the year in September.
    • New Record Month for Hits
      • The record is still 160 hits. September's 136 is my fourth best all-time.
    • Surpass 500 2006 L-L $1 Entries
      • Completed in May. 4 entered in September bringing the total up to 515.
    • Surpass 400 Entries with one 2009 FRB/Block Combo and 300 with Another
      • My top 2009 block is LG with 362 entries with 16 entered in September and 197 total in 2012. LG should get close to 400, but I'm not sure it will surpass. LB is second with 338 (20 in August, 103 in 2012). Third is LF with 308 (15 in September, 113 in 2012). LK is fourth with 253 (47 in September, all 253 in 2012). LK should challenge LG for top 2009 block by the end of the year. Four new blocks surpassed 200+ entries in September, but all were part of my lesser FRB insertion plan: HA (227 entries), IA (202 entries), CA (202 entries), and JA (200 entries). I don't expect any of those will be close to 300 entries by the year.
    • Complete Non-Star Portions of Series 2003A and 2006 $1 Bingo
      • No new additions in September. This one is not going to happen.
    • 4+ Year Active Bill
      • Completed in June. 2 (!) additional 4+ year active bills in September including my new all-time longest active bill.

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