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Sunday, July 1, 2012

WG Predictions/Goals/Wishes Update: June

Hit-wise, June was a disappointment beating only February in terms of total hits (115 vs 113). Here's hoping that July reaches the levels of the other months of 2012.

  • Predictions
    • 13.66 Bills Entered Per Day
      • I entered 651 bills in June for an average of 21.70 bills per day. This puts the yearly total to 3224 and raises the daily average to 18.26. To hit this goal, I'll just have to average 9.65 for the rest of the year. Since I'm well ahead on this goal, and it appears that I'm easily going to surpass this goal, I now predict I'll enter 5750 bills this year. The predictions below will be based on this updated number.
    • 1231 Hits in 2012 / 4030 Overall Hits
      • I got 115 hits in June bringing the yearly total to 782 which is ahead of where I need to be for my 2012 goal. Including the new data from June, the hit prediction program from the original prediction post calculated that I'd get 721 more hits in 2012. That would result in 1503 hits in 2012 and 4302 overall. My expected slugging percentage would be 19.15% (down 0.07% from last month due to the increase in bills entered).
    • 1015 Additional Bills with Hits in 2012 / 3445 Overall Bills with Hits
      • Of the 115 hits, 94 were the initial hit on a bill putting my additional bills with hits in 2012 at 651. Using the output from the prediction program and Excel, I obtained a calculation of 583 more bills with hits. That would result in 1234 in 2012 and 3664 overall. That would put my expected hit rate at 16.31% (down 0.08% from last month again due to the increase in bills entered due to the increase in bills entered).
    • State Bingo Completion
      • Still waiting on West Virginia.
    • One Additional California County Hit in 2012 / 53 Counties Hit Overall
      • Completed last month. No new additional CA counties in June.
    • 17 Additional FRB Bingos / 57 FRB Bingos Overall
      • I completed 6 additional FRB bingos in June to put my total to 58 completing this prediction. That puts me on pace for 29 in the year which would suggest I'll end the year with 69.
    • No More Than 13 Hitless Days
      • I had my fourth hitless day in June. I still seem to be in good shape for this one.
    • 80+ Day Hit Streak
      • Already completed (81 day streak). Current streak is at 7 days.
  • Goals
    • National Rank Under 1000 in November & December
      • I was never higher than 898 in June. This is looking like a slam dunk.
    • State Rank Under 75
      • The first part of the month my rank was mostly in the lower 70s. The latter part mostly in the upper 60s. Looks like this one is within reach.
    • $1s Making Up >87.29% of All Entries
      • I ended the month at 86.92% (down 0.02% from last month). It was a bit of a rough month for this one, but I think I'll get back to making progress in the next few months.
    • More Series 2009 Entries Than 2003A
      • 2003A's lead is now under 600. I think 2009 will take the lead either in September or October.
    • Decrease San Francisco "L" FRB Bills Below 50%
      • The San Francisco percentage is now down to 48.7%. I think it will continue to decrease as my insertion rate is high, and then the key will be whether or not it stays below.
    • Increase Percentage of Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St. Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J" FRB Bills
      • All are currently above the desired percentage.
    • 30 Zip Codes with 25+ Entries
      • I added 4 zip codes to this club in June: 95227 (Clements, CA), 77060 (Houston, TX), 77550 (Galveston, TX), and 89449 (Stateline, NV). I'm now at 26 zip codes with 25+ entries.
  • Wishes
    • 5 Hit Bill
      • No five hit bill yet.
    • New Record Month for Hits
      • Not re-broken in June. New record is still 160 hits.
    • Surpass 500 2006 L-L $1 Entries
      • Completed in May. Only 1 additional entered in June bringing the total to 506.
    • Surpass 400 Entries with one 2009 FRB/Block Combo and 300 with Another
      • My top 2009 block is LG with 321 entries with 17 entered in June and 156 total in 2012. If I continue to enter LGs at this pace, it will get to 400. LB is second with 303 (13 in June, 68 in 2012). Third is LF with 278 (15 in June, 83 in 2012). LF should hit 300. No other series 2009 FRB/block combo has reached 200 entries. Although not at 100 entries yet, I think LK will be part of this conversation after a couple months.
    • Complete Non-Star Portions of Series 2003A and 2006 $1 Bingo
      • No new spots marked off in June, so I still have 6 more spots to go for each bingo and haven't crossed off a spot on 2003A all year. This one is not going to happen.
    • 4+ Year Active Bill
      • I got a hit on 2006 $10 IB639---42A 4 Years, 3 Days, 22 Hours, 54 Minutes after I entered it. Wish completed!

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