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Tuesday, May 29, 2012

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/20/12 - 05/26/12

In the past week, I received 31 hits in 6 States [AZ, CA23, ID, NJ, NV2, NY2] as well as an international hit in London, United Kingdom. I still have hits in 34 States in 2012 with none added this week. Additionally I now have hits in 420 counties with none new this week.

Of those 31 hits, 3 were the 2nd hit on the bill and the rest (28) were the initial hit on the bill. The longest bill active from the bunch was re-entered 2 Years 306 Days 18 Hours 3 Minutes after I originally entered it.

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
20212223242526
13403353

The 13 hits I received on Sunday were the most hits I've ever gotten in one day. Two days later I went from glory to tears, as I had a hit-less day which ended my hit streak at 48 days. My new streak is obviously at 4.

Taking a look at how my predictions regarding bill entries and hits are going so far, it was a pretty massive week of bill entries, and I'm now over 4 weeks ahead of where I need to be. Both bills with hits and total hits once again had good weeks:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered16720189611916120024412172095.618728+104+433
Bills with Hits24302937296528535344519.42838+9+127
Total Hits27993410344131642403023.53293+7+148

Based on the goal of 5000 bill entries, here's how I'm doing towards my bill entry goals. Starting off with my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 86.29% so the goal is 87.29%), my percentage is now 86.94% [+0.65%]. I was a little behind this week on one entries compared to total, but considering that I was in Vegas and that requires bigger bills, I didn't do too poorly.

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 5000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered144271648216658176223118959181.316640-5+18

As for the goal of having series 2009 pass series 2003A in number of entries, it was a fantastic week, and 2009s are now less than 1000 behind:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
  Week Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Actual WΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal WΔ
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Actual YΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal YΔ
2003A3603373337396136GoalNumber of Entries Needed Per Timeframe to Stay on Pace for the Year Based on the Predicted Amount of 5000 Bills Entered911106+26+174
20091339263227551231416Actual1171280

And for my goal of decreasing San Francisco "L" FRB entries below 50.0% while increasing Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J", it was another good week. "I" bills were 31 behind to start the week, so I've already cut out one third of the deficit. I look forward to clearing out the deficit completely.

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekGoalGoal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
San Francisco "L"853251.03%936749.40%943049.21%< 50.0%49.94%9662+232
Boston "A"4612.76%6063.20%6203.24%> 2.8%2.85%539+81
Cleveland "D"3952.36%6233.29%6353.31%> 2.4%2.45%462+173
St. Louis "H"3822.28%4972.62%5122.67%> 2.3%2.35%445+67
Philadelphia "C"3762.25%4942.61%5032.63%> 2.2%2.25%431+72
Minneapolis "I"3522.11%3731.97%3882.02%> 2.1%2.15%408-20
Kansas City "J"2901.73%4052.14%4202.19%> 1.7%1.75%334+86

It was a good week of hits, but it didn't feel like it after Sunday's 13 hits (I only had 18 other hits during the week). I now have 135 hits in the month and just need 5 more to set a new monthly record. With 5 days to go in the month, that should be no problem.

I did have what I considered a pretty cool hit on Saturday: 2006 $5 IL390---10C. It was a bill that I spent while in Poland a year and a half ago that made it's way back to the States. Pretty neat!

Saturday, May 26, 2012

My UFC 146 Picks

Heavyweight Match [UFC146-01]
PPV / Main Card / Main Event / Championship
Junior dos SantosFrank Mir
HW #1 / 793 pointsHW #5 / 393 points
14 - 1 - 016 - 5 - 0
Wins: 10 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 2 DecWins: 3 (T)KO, 9 Sub, 3 Dec, 1 Other
Win Points: 22.40Win Points: 26.40
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.33:16.65:16.65:1Payout:4.75:11.58:14.75:1
Max Bet:22.401.761.76Max Bet:2.6617.242.66
My Pick: Junior dos Santos

Although he's had some nice victories recently, I still feel that Mir is on the downside of his career. dos Santos should easily roll through Mir and finish him off by TKO well before the championship rounds.

Heavyweight Match [UFC146-02]
PPV / Main Card / Co-Main Event / #1 Contender Match
Cain VelasquezAntonio Silva
HW #3 / 531 pointsHW #7 / 232 points
9 - 1 - 016 - 3 - 0
Wins: 8 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 1 DecWins: 11 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 19.24Win Points: 23.25
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.07:17.50:17.50:1Payout:1.38:15.07:17.50:1
Max Bet:19.241.531.53Max Bet:23.252.451.53
My Pick: Cain Velasquez

Silva's last fight was a loss to Cain's teammate (and now StrikeForce Heavyweight Grand Prix champion), Daniel Cormier. Cain is more talented than Cormier and should have no problem dispatching "Big Foot".

Heavyweight Match [UFC146-03]
PPV / Main Card
Roy NelsonDave Herman
HW #17 / 127 pointsHW #42 / 70 points
16 - 7 - 021 - 3 - 0
Wins: 9 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 2 DecWins: 15 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 15.97Win Points: 18.41
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.69:13.04:17.50:1Payout:1.33:13.99:17.50:1
Max Bet:14.494.901.53Max Bet:18.413.341.53
My Pick: Roy Nelson

Herman's run in the UFC has not impressed me. Nelson is durable, and Herman will likely gas out far before this one ends. "Big Country" will take advantage of that to get the finish.

Heavyweight Match [UFC146-04]
PPV / Main Card
Stipe MiocicShane del Rosario
HW #23 / 110 pointsNR / 28 points
8 - 0 - 011 - 0 - 0
Wins: 6 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 1 DecWins: 8 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 0 Dec
Win Points: 12.87Win Points: 16.98
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.27:17.50:17.50:1Payout:1.31:13.48:17.50:1
Max Bet:12.871.531.53Max Bet:16.984.031.53
My Pick: Stipe Miocic

Somebody's oh has got to go! In the battle of undefeated heavyweight prospects, I give to the nod to Miocic as he's already had two victories on the big stage.

Heavyweight Match [UFC146-05]
PPV / Main Card
Stefan StruveLavar Johnson
HW #20 / 118 pointsHW #31 / 88 points
23 - 5 - 017 - 5 - 0
Wins: 6 (T)KO, 15 Sub, 1 Dec, 1 OtherWins: 15 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 0 Dec
Win Points: 16.61Win Points: 17.86
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:3.48:11.39:17.50:1Payout:1.08:17.50:17.50:1
Max Bet:4.0316.611.53Max Bet:17.861.531.53
My Pick: Lavar Johnson

Knockout or submission, that's the big question here. Although I have concerns about Lavar getting taken down and mounted by Pat Barry, I think he ends this one on the feet before The Skyscraper gets the opportunity to bring him to the ground.

Featherweight Match [UFC146-06]
FX
Darren ElkinsDiego Brandao
FW #32 / 106 pointsFW #79 / 62 points
13 - 2 - 014 - 7 - 0
Wins: 4 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 4 DecWins: 8 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 9.47Win Points: 10.77
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:3.09:12.47:13.09:1Payout:1.66:13.33:16.65:1
Max Bet:4.786.804.78Max Bet:10.774.291.76
My Pick: Darren Elkins

Elkins has victories against a few fighter's name I recognize. Brandeo does not. Therefore, I pick Elkins.

Lightweight Match [UFC146-07]
FX
Edson BarbozaJamie Varner
LW #48 / 105 pointsLW #53 / 100 points
10 - 0 - 019 - 6 - 1 (2 NC)
Wins: 7 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 2 DecWins: 6 (T)KO, 11 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 9.98Win Points: 10.10
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.36:17.50:14.75:1Payout:3.01:11.64:17.50:1
Max Bet:9.981.532.66Max Bet:4.9710.101.53
My Pick: Edson Barboza

Here's hoping that Barboza can send Varner back to the minor leagues. Usually I'm a fan of the former WEC fighters, and I was a fan of Varner for a bit, but there's something about him now that just completely annoys me.

Middleweight Match [UFC146-08]
FX
C.B. DollawayJason Miller
MW #85 / 74 pointsMW #86 / 73 points
11 - 4 - 023 - 8 - 0 (1 NC)
Wins: 5 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 3 DecWins: 5 (T)KO, 14 Sub, 4 Dec
Win Points: 8.09Win Points: 8.12
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:2.09:13.48:13.48:1Payout:4.37:11.56:15.46:1
Max Bet:8.094.034.03Max Bet:2.968.122.24
My Pick: Jason Miller

I wish I could pick a double knockout or perhaps a double tap out, but since I can't, I'm hoping that Miller finally sends Dollaway out-of-the-way.

Lightweight Match [UFC146-09]
FX
Dan HardyDuane Ludwig
WW #60 / 92 pointsWW #82 / 80 points
23 - 10 - 0 (1 NC)21 - 12 - 0
Wins: 11 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 8 DecWins: 10 (T)KO, 6 Sub, 5 Dec
Win Points: 8.70Win Points: 9.01
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.99:15.46:12.73:1Payout:2.00:13.33:13.99:1
Max Bet:8.702.245.78Max Bet:9.014.293.34
My Pick: Duane Ludwig

It's time to turn the four fight losing streak into five. Theorically Duane "Bang" Ludwig is the right style match up for Dan Hardy, but Hardy hasn't taken advantage of that recently. Hopefully with this loss, the UFC finally send "The Outlaw" packing.

Welterweight Match [UFC146-10]
N/A
Jacob VolkmannPass Sass
LW #24 / 154 pointsLW #62 / 94 points
14 - 2 - 012 - 0 - 0
Wins: 0 (T)KO, 6 Sub, 7 Dec, 1 OtherWins: 0 (T)KO, 11 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 7.42Win Points: 8.36
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:7.50:12.06:11.76:1Payout:7.50:11.04:17.50:1
Max Bet:1.537.427.42Max Bet:1.538.361.53
My Pick: Jacob Volkmann

Sass has the better record, but Volkmann's two losses came against strong competition. Volkmann's experience in the octagon will be the deciding factor as he hands Sass his first loss.

Light Heavyweight Match [UFC146-11]
N/A
Glover TeixeiraKyle Kingsbury
LHW #25 / 122 pointsLHW #48 / 77 points
17 - 2 - 011 - 3 - 0 (1 NC)
Wins: 11 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 2 DecWins: 4 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 5 Dec
Win Points: 7.83Win Points: 8.76
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.47:14.04:17.50:1Payout:2.61:15.23:12.09:1
Max Bet:7.833.281.53Max Bet:6.212.368.76
My Pick: Glover Teixeira

Teixeria is on a 15 fight win streak. Make it 16.

Featherweight Match [UFC146-12]
N/A
Daniel PinedaMike Brown
FW #31 / 107 pointsFW #39 / 96 points
17 - 7 - 025 - 8 - 0
Wins: 6 (T)KO, 11 Sub, 0 DecWins: 5 (T)KO, 13 Sub, 7 Dec
Win Points: 8.15Win Points: 8.37
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:2.69:11.47:17.50:1Payout:4.75:11.83:13.39:1
Max Bet:5.918.151.53Max Bet:2.668.374.18
My Pick: Daniel Pineda

Pineda is on his way up. Brown is on his way down. Those trends continue.

Sunday, May 20, 2012

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/13/12 - 05/19/12

In the past week, I received 38 hits in 10 States [AZ2, CA26, HI, ID, IN, MN, OR, PA, TX3, WA]. I still have hits in 34 States in 2012 with none added this week. Additionally I now have hits in 420 counties with 5 new this week: Del Norte CA, Marion IN, Lancaster PA, Angelina TX, Upshur TX. The hit in Del Norte CA is my first new CA county of the year (and in a long time).

Of those 38 hits, 1 was the 3rd hit on the bill, 5 were the 2nd hit on the bill, and the rest (32) were the initial hit on the bill. The longest bill active from the bunch was re-entered 3 Years 49 Days 0 Hours 2 Minutes after I originally entered it. This bill is now #5 on my all-time longest active list.

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
13141516171819
55561610

My hit streak continued through this week although Thursday was a bit of a concern. It is now at 46 days: 8 to go to tie my 4th longest streak.

Taking a look at how my predictions regarding bill entries and hits are going so far, I was a little behind on bill entries, but that's ok since I'm so far ahead of my goal for the year. Hit and bills with hits again were above needed:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered1672018878189618322412172095.618633-13+328
Bills with Hits24302905293732507344519.42818+13+119
Total Hits27993372341038611403023.53270+14+140

Based on the goal of 5000 bill entries, here's how I'm doing towards my bill entry goals. Starting off with my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 86.29% so the goal is 87.29%), my percentage is now 86.93% [+0.64%]. I was a little ahead of this goal this week, however, the next couple weeks may be rough on this one, and I wouldn't be surprised if it falls into the red:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 5000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered1442716403164827920551895975.216458+4+24

As for the goal of having series 2009 pass series 2003A in number of entries, I'm still well ahead and closing in on having 2009 being only 1000 entries behind 2003A:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
  Week Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Actual WΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal WΔ
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Actual YΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal YΔ
2003A3603372837335130GoalNumber of Entries Needed Per Timeframe to Stay on Pace for the Year Based on the Predicted Amount of 5000 Bills Entered381015+8+148
2009133925812632511293Actual461163

And for my goal of decreasing San Francisco "L" FRB entries below 50.0% while increasing Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J", I'm pretty much where I was last week. I've entered my first inserted "I" bill and expect to start to decrease the deficit for Minneapolis bills this upcoming week:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekGoalGoal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
San Francisco "L"853251.03%933849.46%936749.40%< 50.0%49.94%9569+202
Boston "A"4612.76%6003.18%6063.20%> 2.8%2.85%532+74
Cleveland "D"3952.36%6173.27%6233.29%> 2.4%2.45%457+166
St. Louis "H"3822.28%4912.60%4972.62%> 2.3%2.35%440+57
Philadelphia "C"3762.25%4872.58%4942.61%> 2.2%2.25%427+67
Minneapolis "I"3522.11%3721.97%3731.97%> 2.1%2.15%404-31
Kansas City "J"2901.73%3992.11%4052.14%> 1.7%1.75%331+74

This week was my third best week ever for hits. Since last week was my second best, May is off to a really hot start: already breaking 100 hits (104) in just 19 days. I just need 36 hits in the final 12 days to set a new record for most hits in a month.

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

My UFC on FuelTV 3 Picks

Featherweight Match [FUEL3-01]
Fuel / Main Card / Main Event
Dustin PoirierChan Sung Jung
FW #14 / 142 pointsFW #21 / 129 points
12 - 1 - 012 - 3 - 0
Wins: 5 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 2 DecWins: 3 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 13.81Win Points: 14.15
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:2.28:12.28:15.70:1Payout:3.80:11.63:15.70:1
Max Bet:7.817.812.12Max Bet:3.5714.152.12
My Pick: Dustin Poirier

My Fight Analysis Here...

Welterweight Match [FUEL3-02]
Fuel / Main Card / Co-Main Event
Amir SadollahJorge Lopez
WW #82 / 80 pointsWW #93 / 76 points
5 - 3 - 011 - 2 - 0
Wins: 0 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 3 DecWins: 5 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 6 Dec
Win Points: 8.48Win Points: 8.59
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:7.50:12.38:11.58:1Payout:2.09:17.50:11.74:1
Max Bet:1.537.248.48Max Bet:8.591.538.59
My Pick: Jorge Lopez

My Fight Analysis Here...

Lightweight Match [FUEL3-03]
Fuel / Main Card
Donald CerroneJeremy Stephens
LW #13 / 182 pointsLW #28 / 143 points
17 - 4 - 0 (1 NC)20 - 7 - 0
Wins: 1 (T)KO, 13 Sub, 3 DecWins: 14 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 3 Dec
Win Points: 12.34Win Points: 13.10
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:7.50:11.24:15.38:1Payout:1.36:16.33:16.33:1
Max Bet:1.5312.342.28Max Bet:13.101.871.87
My Pick: Donald Cerrone

My Fight Analysis Here...

Bantamweight Match [FUEL3-04]
Fuel / Main Card
Yves JabouinJeff Hougland
BW #20 / 90 pointsBW #47 / 63 points
17 - 7 - 010 - 4 - 0
Wins: 11 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 5 DecWins: 1 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 11.06Win Points: 12.07
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.47:17.50:13.23:1Payout:7.50:11.36:14.75:1
Max Bet:11.061.534.48Max Bet:1.5312.072.66
My Pick: Yves Jabouin

My Fight Analysis Here...

Light Heavyweight Match [FUEL3-05]
Fuel / Main Card
Igor PokrajacFabio Maldonado
LHW #40 / 88 pointsLHW #78 / 52 points
24 - 8 - 018 - 4 - 0
Wins: 13 (T)KO, 8 Sub, 3 DecWins: 12 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 3 Dec
Win Points: 9.17Win Points: 10.41
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.75:12.85:17.50:1Payout:1.43:15.70:15.70:1
Max Bet:9.175.401.53Max Bet:10.412.122.12
My Pick: Igor Pokrajac

My Fight Analysis Here...

Middleweight Match [FUEL3-06]
Fuel / Main Card
Jason MacDonaldTom Lawlor
MW #67 / 84 pointsMW #86 / 72 points
25 - 15 - 07 - 4 - 0 (1 NC)
Wins: 3 (T)KO, 19 Sub, 3 DecWins: 2 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 8.39Win Points: 8.72
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:7.50:11.25:17.50:1Payout:3.33:12.22:13.33:1
Max Bet:1.538.391.53Max Bet:4.298.194.29
My Pick: Jason MacDonald

My Fight Analysis Here...

Middleweight Match [FUEL3-07]
N/A
Dongi YangBrad Tavares
MW #128 / 52 pointsMW #228 / 36 points
10 - 2 - 07 - 1 - 0
Wins: 9 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 0 DecWins: 4 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 2.96Win Points: 3.24
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.06:17.50:17.50:1Payout:1.66:13.33:16.65:1
Max Bet:2.961.531.53Max Bet:3.243.241.76
My Pick: Dongi Yang

My Fight Analysis Here...

Lightweight Match [FUEL3-08]
N/A
Marcus LeVesseurCody McKenzie
LW #123 / 58 pointsLW #383 / 30 points
21 - 5 - 012 - 2 - 0
Wins: 10 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 4 DecWins: 1 (T)KO, 11 Sub, 0 Dec
Win Points: 2.79Win Points: 3.26
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:2.00:12.85:14.99:1Payout:7.50:11.04:17.50:1
Max Bet:2.792.792.50Max Bet:1.533.261.53
My Pick: Cody McKenzie

My Fight Analysis Here...

Lightweight Match [FUEL3-09]
N/A
TJ GrantCarlo Prater
LW #23 / 152 pointsWW #42 / 117 points
17 - 5 - 030 - 10 - 1
Wins: 2 (T)KO, 13 Sub, 2 DecWins: 2 (T)KO, 16 Sub, 11 Dec, 1 Other
Win Points: 8.31Win Points: 8.77
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:7.50:11.24:17.50:1Payout:7.50:11.72:12.50:1
Max Bet:1.538.311.53Max Bet:1.538.776.66
My Pick: TJ Grant

My Fight Analysis Here...

Lightweight Match [FUEL3-10]
N/A
Rafael dos AnjosKamal Shalorus
LW #24 / 151 pointsLW #90 / 70 points
15 - 6 - 07 - 2 - 2
Wins: 2 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 6 DecWins: 4 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 6.68Win Points: 7.98
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:7.13:12.04:12.38:1Payout:1.66:16.65:13.33:1
Max Bet:1.636.686.68Max Bet:7.981.764.29
My Pick: Rafael dos Anjos

My Fight Analysis Here...

Bantamweight Match [FUEL3-11]
N/A
Jeff CurranJohnny Eduardo
BW #52 / 58 pointsBW #162 / 30 points
33 - 14 - 0 (1 NC)25 - 9 - 0
Wins: 1 (T)KO, 19 Sub, 13 DecWins: 6 (T)KO, 13 Sub, 6 Dec
Win Points: 4.74Win Points: 5.54
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:7.50:11.65:12.41:1Payout:3.96:11.83:13.96:1
Max Bet:1.534.744.74Max Bet:3.375.543.37
My Pick: Jeff Curran

My Fight Analysis Here...

Bantamweight Match [FUEL3-12]
N/A
Francisco RiveraAlex Soto
BW #91 / 43 pointsBW #148 / 32 points
9 - 2 - 06 - 1 - 1
Wins: 7 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 2 DecWins: 2 (T)KO, 3 Sub, 1 Dec
Win Points: 3.96Win Points: 4.26
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.22:17.50:14.28:1Payout:2.85:11.90:15.70:1
Max Bet:3.961.533.04Max Bet:4.264.262.12
My Pick: Francisco Rivera

My Fight Analysis Here...

Sunday, May 13, 2012

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/06/12 - 05/12/12

In the past week, I received 41 hits in 8 States [AZ2, CA31, FL, KS, MA, OR3, TX, WA]. I now have hits in 34 States in 2012 with 1 added this week: KS. Additionally I now have hits in 415 counties with 5 new this week: Pinal AZ, Charlotte FL, Hampshire MA, Klamath OR, Lincoln OR.

Of those 41 hits, 1 was the 3rd hit on the bill, 6 were the 2nd hit on the bill, and the rest (34) were the initial hit on the bill. The longest bill active from the bunch was re-entered 3 Years 103 Days 10 Hours 37 Minutes after I originally entered it. This bill is currently my third longest active all-time.

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
06070809101112
61083734

The 41 hits make this week my second best hit week ever. The lack of a hitless day continues the current hit streak which is now at 39 days (my 5th best all-time).

Taking a look at how my predictions regarding bill entries and hits are going so far, it was another positive week for all categories. I guess all of these predictions were too light:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered16720187491887812921582172095.618537+33+341
Bills with Hits24302871290534475344519.42799+15+106
Total Hits27993331337241573403023.53246+17+126

Based on the goal of 5000 bill entries, here's how I'm doing towards my bill entry goals. Starting off with my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 86.29% so the goal is 87.29%), my percentage is now 86.89% [+0.60%]. I gained back some of the ground lost last week which is good since I'll likely lose some more ground in the two weeks following the upcoming week:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 5000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered144271628116403122197618959116.916383+5+20

As for the goal of having series 2009 pass series 2003A in number of entries, I lost a little ground this week but still have a pretty large lead:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
  Week Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Actual WΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal WΔ
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Actual YΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal YΔ
2003A36033717372811125GoalNumber of Entries Needed Per Timeframe to Stay on Pace for the Year Based on the Predicted Amount of 5000 Bills Entered58978-2+139
2009133925142581671242Actual561117

And for my goal of decreasing San Francisco "L" FRB entries below 50.0% while increasing Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J", there's nothing new to report. Entry of the acquired "I" bills should start this week.

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekGoalGoal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
San Francisco "L"853251.03%930349.62%933849.46%< 50.0%49.94%9531+193
Boston "A"4612.76%5923.16%6003.18%> 2.8%2.85%530+70
Cleveland "D"3952.36%6063.23%6173.27%> 2.4%2.45%455+162
St. Louis "H"3822.28%4852.59%4912.60%> 2.3%2.35%438+53
Philadelphia "C"3762.25%4782.55%4872.58%> 2.2%2.25%425+62
Minneapolis "I"3522.11%3701.97%3721.97%> 2.1%2.15%402-30
Kansas City "J"2901.73%3832.04%3992.11%> 1.7%1.75%329+70

Another fantastic week is in the books. Looking forward to seeing how next weeks goes.

Sunday, May 6, 2012

My Where's George Week in Review: 04/29/12 - 05/05/12

In the past week, I received 30 hits in 10 States [AL, AZ, CA18, GA, ID2, IL, MS, NV2, OR, WA2]. I now have hits in 33 States in 2012 with 1 added this week: MS. The Mississippi hit was my first hit ever in MS, and I now have hits in 49 States all-time. Additionally I now have hits in 410 counties with 3 new this week: Adams IL, Harrison MS, Spokane WA.

Of those 30 hits, 9 were the 2nd hit on the bill and the rest (21) were the initial hit on the bill. The longest bill active from the bunch was re-entered 2 Years 305 Days 18 Hours 53 Minutes after I originally entered it.

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
29300102030405
2339724

Another week of no hit-less days extends my current hit streak to 32 days. This streak is now tied for fifth longest. It's currently 22 days short of fourth place, so it's going to be a while before it has a chance to move up.

Taking a look at how my predictions regarding bill entries and hits are going so far, it was a monster week for entries as I spent a couple days at a casino in Reno and entered a number of bills for gambling:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered16719185261874822220292172095.618441+126+307
Bills with Hits24302850287121441344519.42779+2+92
Total Hits27993301333130532403023.53223+6+108

Based on the goal of 5000 bill entries, here's how I'm doing towards my bill entry goals. Starting off with my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 86.29% so the goal is 87.29%), my percentage is now 86.84% [+0.55%]. This goal was negatively impacted by the gambling trip as I entered more non-ones than normal:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 5000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered144261609316280187185418959201.216265-14+15

As for the goal of having series 2009 pass series 2003A in number of entries, it was also a rough week. I think this was due to the slot machine payouts tending to be "older" bills:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
  Week Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Actual WΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal WΔ
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Actual YΔ Stacks Up Against the Goal YΔ
2003A36033703371714114GoalNumber of Entries Needed Per Timeframe to Stay on Pace for the Year Based on the Predicted Amount of 5000 Bills Entered101919-12+142
20091339241125141031175Actual891061

And for my goal of decreasing San Francisco "L" FRB entries below 50.0% while increasing Boston "A", Cleveland "D", St Louis "H", Philadelphia "C", Minneapolis "I", and Kansas City "J", nothing really new to report. I've acquired the final set of "I" bills, and should be inserting those into my entries in a couple weeks:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekGoalGoal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
San Francisco "L"853251.03%922849.81%930349.62%< 50.0%49.94%9471+168
Boston "A"4612.76%5743.10%5923.16%> 2.8%2.85%526+66
Cleveland "D"3952.36%5883.17%6063.23%> 2.4%2.45%451+155
St. Louis "H"3822.28%4712.54%4852.59%> 2.3%2.35%434+51
Philadelphia "C"3762.25%4662.52%4782.55%> 2.2%2.25%422+56
Minneapolis "I"3522.11%3681.99%3701.97%> 2.1%2.15%399-29
Kansas City "J"2901.73%3671.98%3832.04%> 1.7%1.75%327+56

The big excitement for the week was the Mississippi hit. Other than that, it was an average week for hits. Hopefully I will see a big benefit in hits from all the bills entered this week.