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Sunday, August 25, 2013

My Where's George Week in Review: 08/18/13 - 08/24/13

My Where's George Week in Review: 08/18/13 - 08/24/13

In the past week, I got 24 hits in 4 States [CA20, IL, NV2, WI]. Of those hits, 1 was the 3rd hit on the bill, 1 was the 2nd hit on the bill, and the rest (22) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
18192021222324
4434234

I didn't have a hit streak coming into this week.

Of the 4 States in which I received hits this past week, none were the first hit for that State in 2013. Overall I've received hits in 42 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0   51
PreviousStill Needed for GoalBeyond Goal

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 2 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 547. The newly hit counties were Champaign IL and Green WI. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483   581
PreviousNewStill Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 4 Years 222 Days 15 Hours 55 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 3rd on my all-time longest active list. I also received a hit on what is now my 8th longest active bill. My top ten longest active bills list is now:

RankBill InfoTime ActiveLast UpdateHits
1.$12006L2964---0E5 Years 15 Days 15 Hours 22 Minutes08/14/20132
2.$102003DL947---91A4 Years 238 Days 13 Hours 41 Minutes03/08/20132
3.$12006L2100---3I4 Years 222 Days 15 Hours 55 Minutes08/20/20131
4.$12003AL4532---3K4 Years 200 Days 22 Minutes10/12/20121
5.$12006L8723---5F4 Years 170 Days 22 Hours 5 Minutes08/16/20131
6.$12006L2080---0I4 Years 166 Days 12 Hours 17 Minutes07/06/20131
7.$12003AL3475---2C4 Years 165 Days 9 Hours 56 Minutes02/04/20132
8.$12006L9534---6K4 Years 141 Days 3 Hours 36 Minutes08/18/20131
9.$12006L8846---7H4 Years 133 Days 59 Minutes06/17/20131
10.$102006IB188---86B4 Years 103 Days 18 Hours 40 Minutes03/20/20131

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered22920277542783884491828920115.126799-31+1039
Bills with Hits37044543456522861507426.34590-4-25
Total Hits433053565380241050603032.65429-9-49

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 7606 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 58.7 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.27% [+0.64%].

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered2008624491245738244872563477.724634+4-61
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 7606.22881355932 entries this year rather than 60002705877.024594+5-21

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekG%Goal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"7813.41%9683.49%9703.48%3.51%969+185
New York "B"16917.38%20907.53%20997.54%7.58%2094+583
Philadelphia "C"6562.86%8182.95%8202.95%2.96%817+344
Cleveland "D"8193.57%10173.66%10193.66%3.67%1015+46
Richmond "E"15696.85%19557.04%19617.04%7.05%1946+156
Atlanta "F"20969.14%26919.70%27059.72%9.64%2645+6014
Chicago "G"15026.55%18806.77%18876.78%6.75%1865+226
St. Louis "H"7403.23%9193.31%9233.32%3.33%920+355
Minneapolis "I"6022.63%7512.71%7532.70%2.73%752+189
Kansas City "J"5582.43%6962.51%6992.51%2.53%698+170
Dallas "K"9534.16%11984.32%12004.31%4.36%1198+268

At this point in the year, if I've entered 65 bills for a particular FRB than I'm on pace to enter 100 bills for that FRB.

This week I got my 54th two hit/three State bill which traveled from California -> Iowa -> Illinois.

It was not a very good week for hits, and after the past two weeks, I'm no longer hopeful that August will set a new record for hits in a month.

I'm still working my way towards a 20% slugging percentage. Last week I was 194.8 hits behind where I needed to be. After this week, I'm 187.6 behind.

I made some progress towards a new way of looking at the results of my hits for a particular week. I've identified 14 stats that I care about. Now I need to determine whether or not I need to give certain stats additionally weighting versus each other. Ignoring weighing, this is how I'd score my past week:

Previous 12 Weeks
StatWeekMinMaxScore
Hits that Changed States98250.06
Distinct States Hit45150.00
Hits Beyond the 1st on a Bill132150.08
Bills Active Over a Year242.810.653.40.75
New Counties2040.50
Hits from Georgers with Profiles1040.25
Hits with Notes2017420.12
International Hits0020.00
Hits on Non-Georges0050.00
Hits on Wilds0000.00
Hits in "Sleepy" States30040.00
Distinct FRBs Hit97110.50
New Series/Denom/FRB/Block Combo Hit1020.50
Days with Hits7671.00
TOTAL2.7811.373.76
Weekly Score: 1.1
  1. The second hit on a bill is worth 1 point. Each hit thereafter doubles in value (i.e. The third is worth 2 and the fourth is worth 4.).
  2. A bill active for a year is worth 1 point. Each additional hit doubles in value and partial years add partial value.
  3. A "Sleepy" Stats is one in which I haven't received a hit in the previous 3 months.

Along with figuring out how (if?) the various stats should be weighed against each other, I'm also deciding if these are truly the stats I want to score (perhaps for bills active, they need to be active over two years for example). Hopefully I'll get this all figured out in the next few weeks.

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