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Sunday, August 11, 2013

My Where's George Week in Review: 08/04/13 - 08/10/13

My Where's George Week in Review: 08/04/13 - 08/10/13

In the past week, I got 37 hits in 9 States [AZ, CA29, CO, IL, MN, NY, PA, UT, WI]. Of those hits, 6 were the 2nd hit on the bill and the rest (31) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
04050607080910
4485457

I came into the week with a 84 day hit streak. I got a hit on every day of this week which extended the streak to 91 days: good for my longest streak all-time. Here's a look at my all-time ten longest hit streaks:

RankStart DateEnd DateDaysRankStart DateEnd DateDays
1.05/12/201308/10/2013916.07/28/201109/23/201158
2.10/07/201201/02/2013887.09/26/201111/18/201154
3.02/08/201305/05/2013878.06/24/201208/16/201254
4.12/28/201103/17/2012819.04/04/201205/21/201248
5.04/13/201106/30/20117910.01/04/201302/06/201334

Of the 9 States in which I received hits this past week, 1 was the first hit for that State in 2013: Wisconsin. Overall I've received hits in 42 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0    51
PreviousNewStill Needed for GoalBeyond Goal

The hit in Wisconsin was my first since November of 2012.

The nine "States" (Where's George treats DC as a State, and thus, so do I) in which I haven't received a hit in 2013 are Alaska, Delaware, Indiana, Kentucky, North Dakota, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Vermont, and the District of Columbia (heh!). (I was able to guess 5 of the 9: not sure if I should be proud or sadden by that.) I have 6 or less hits in all of those States but Indiana (where I have 12, so it's surprising that I don't have a 2013 hit yet). With over 4.5 months to go, I'd think that I'll certainly get to 46, but it'll be interesting to see which four report in.

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 4 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 543. The newly hit counties were Weld CO, Wayne NY, Franklin PA, and Dane WI. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483   581
PreviousNewStill Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 4 Years 89 Days 11 Hours 56 Minutes after I originally entered it (interestingly, this was the first hit I received on Thursday to break my record for longest hit streak). That bill is now 8th on my all-time longest active list. My top ten longest active bills list is now:

RankBill InfoTime ActiveLast UpdateHits
1.$102003DL947---91A4 Years 238 Days 13 Hours 41 Minutes03/08/20132
2.$12003AL4532---3K4 Years 200 Days 22 Minutes10/12/20121
3.$12006L2080---0I4 Years 166 Days 12 Hours 17 Minutes07/06/20131
4.$12003AL3475---2C4 Years 165 Days 9 Hours 56 Minutes02/04/20132
5.$12006L8846---7H4 Years 133 Days 59 Minutes06/17/20131
6.$102006IB188---86B4 Years 103 Days 18 Hours 40 Minutes03/20/20131
7.$12006L6816---7G4 Years 91 Days 13 Hours 31 Minutes06/18/20131
8.$12006L8157---4H4 Years 89 Days 11 Hours 56 Minutes08/08/20131
9.$12006L5171---3A4 Years 88 Days 14 Hours 48 Minutes07/27/20133
10.$52003DL906---99C4 Years 56 Days 48 Minutes09/11/20121

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered22920275532764087472028920115.126569-28+1071
Bills with Hits37044494452531821507426.34537+5-12
Total Hits43305292532937999603032.65364+4-35

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 7760 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 62.7 bills per week for the rest of the year.

I'm just one hit away from 1000 hits in 2013.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.23% [+0.59%].

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered2008624302243868443002563480.424451+4-65
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 7760.36036036036 entries this year rather than 60002719479.724410+4-24

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekG%Goal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"7813.41%9593.48%9643.49%3.51%962+281
New York "B"16917.38%20727.52%20807.53%7.58%2077+373
Philadelphia "C"6562.86%8132.95%8142.95%2.96%810+444
Cleveland "D"8193.57%10093.66%10123.66%3.67%1007+56
Richmond "E"15696.85%19357.02%19397.02%7.05%1930+96
Atlanta "F"20969.14%26609.65%26739.67%9.64%2622+5114
Chicago "G"15026.55%18676.78%18746.78%6.75%1849+256
St. Louis "H"7403.23%9103.30%9133.30%3.33%912+151
Minneapolis "I"6022.63%7442.70%7462.70%2.73%745+186
Kansas City "J"5582.43%6912.51%6962.52%2.53%692+467
Dallas "K"9534.16%11884.31%11934.32%4.36%1188+568

At this point in the year, if I've entered 61 bills for a particular FRB than I'm on pace to enter 100 bills for that FRB.

Although I've inserted a "boatload" (86) Minneapolis bills this year, only one of those bills has reported back with a hit. Thankfully, most of the other groups of inserted bills are doing a lot better than that hit-wise.

It was another solid week of hits although definitely slower than last week. Any week that averages five or more hits a day is successful in my book (at least currently - if I were to start averaging six, five wouldn't seem so awesome).

Other than thinking about it, I didn't make any progress towards a formula for giving a numeric rating to a week. I'm currently leaning towards making the rating weighted against recent weeks (perhaps the last 12?) rather than all-time. We'll see if I make any progress on it this week. I think a big problem I need to overcome is when to make a "cool" hit outweigh two "average" hits. For example, would I really prefer to have 49 hits with 48 in California and 1 in Nevada versus 50 hits with all being in California. Likewise, is a second hit on a bill more valuable than two hits that are the initial hit.

As for my quest to increase my slugging percentage to 20%, I'm currently 199 hits behind. Last week I was 218.6 hits behind, so I made up nearly 20 hits this past week. I should continue to make up ground until I have another massive entry week (likely my next trip to Reno probably sometime in September unless I decide to back off from the usual number of $1s that get inserted into slot machines. With roughly twenty weeks left in the year, as long as I don't overdo it on entries, I should easily surpass 20%.

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