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Sunday, June 23, 2013

My Where's George Week in Review: 06/16/13 - 06/22/13

My Where's George Week in Review: 06/16/13 - 06/22/13

In the past week, I got 33 hits in 8 States [CA21, HI2, LA, NH, NJ, NV3, VA, WA3]. Of those hits, 1 was the 3rd hit on the bill, 1 was the 2nd hit on the bill, and the rest (31) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
16171819202122
24117252

I came into the week with a 35 day hit streak. I got a hit on every day of this week which extended the streak to 42 days: good for my 9th longest streak all-time. Here's a look at my all-time ten longest hit streaks:

RankStart DateEnd DateDaysRankStart DateEnd DateDays
1.10/07/201201/02/2013886.09/26/201111/18/201154
2.02/08/201305/05/2013877.06/24/201208/16/201254
3.12/28/201103/17/2012818.04/04/201205/21/201248
4.04/13/201106/30/2011799.05/12/201306/22/201342
5.07/28/201109/23/20115810.01/04/201302/06/201334

Of the 8 States in which I received hits this past week, 2 were the first hit for that State in 2013: New Hampshire and Virginia. Overall I've received hits in 38 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0    51
PreviousNewStill Needed for GoalBeyond Goal

The hit in New Hampshire was my first in over a year (last NH hit was in March of 2012). The hit in Virginia was my first since December of 2012.

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 2 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 531. The newly hit counties were Rapides LA and Atlantic NJ. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483   581
PreviousNewStill Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 4 Years 133 Days 0 Hours 59 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 4th on my all-time longest active list. I also got a hit on what is now my 6th longest active bill. My top ten longest active bills list is now:

RankBill InfoTime ActiveLast UpdateHits
1.$102003DL947---91A4 Years 238 Days 13 Hours 41 Minutes03/08/20132
2.$12003AL4532---3K4 Years 200 Days 22 Minutes10/12/20121
3.$12003AL3475---2C4 Years 165 Days 9 Hours 56 Minutes02/04/20132
4.$12006L8846---7H4 Years 133 Days 59 Minutes06/17/20131
5.$102006IB188---86B4 Years 103 Days 18 Hours 40 Minutes03/20/20131
6.$12006L6816---7G4 Years 91 Days 13 Hours 31 Minutes06/18/20131
7.$52003DL906---99C4 Years 56 Days 48 Minutes09/11/20121
8.$12003AL6163---1M4 Years 43 Days 21 Hours 25 Minutes04/23/20132
9.$12006H9275---2A4 Years 17 Days 1 Minute09/14/20122
10.$12006L5563---1A4 Years 13 Days 12 Hours 43 Minutes04/06/20131

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered229202650326606103368628920115.125764-12+842
Bills with Hits37044279431031606507426.34353+5-43
Total Hits43305039507233742603032.65136+0-64

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 7777 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 84.4 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.21% [+0.57%].

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered2008623372234689633822563495.223495+1-27
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 7776.82080924855 entries this year rather than 60002720994.323463+2+5

Since it looks like I'm going to end up entering well over 6000 bills (and potentially over 7000), the dynamic goal number is probably more useful for this one.

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekG%Goal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"7813.41%9183.46%9233.47%3.51%922+161
New York "B"16917.38%19827.48%19947.49%7.58%1993+147
Philadelphia "C"6562.86%7722.91%7802.93%2.96%777+341
Cleveland "D"8193.57%9703.66%9713.65%3.67%966+52
Richmond "E"15696.85%18476.97%18586.98%7.05%1851+74
Atlanta "F"20969.14%25359.56%25499.58%9.64%2506+4314
Chicago "G"15026.55%17856.74%17946.74%6.75%1774+206
St. Louis "H"7403.23%8733.29%8783.30%3.33%874+441
Minneapolis "I"6022.63%7112.68%7162.69%2.73%714+272
Kansas City "J"5582.43%6622.50%6632.49%2.53%663057
Dallas "K"9534.16%11324.27%11404.28%4.36%1136+458

All of the FRBs are back on track (or for most, ahead). At this point in the year, if I've entered 47 bills for a particular FRB then I'm on pace to enter 100 bills for that FRB. Once again, it's looking like I'm going to need to pick up some extra New York bills. Philadelphia and St. Louis are closing in on that distinction also.

It was a good week for first hit bills. Tuesday and Wednesday really made the week. Had those days been in line with the others, this would have been a pretty weak week.

Sunday, June 16, 2013

My Where's George Week in Review: 06/09/13 - 06/15/13

In the past week, I got 22 hits in 5 States [CA15, FL, NV4, PA, UT]. Of those hits, 2 were the 3rd hit on the bill, 4 were the 2nd hit on the bill, and the rest (16) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
09101112131415
3512245

I came into the week with a 28 day hit streak. I got a hit on every day of this week (the sole hit on Tuesday came at 11:30 PM, so this streak was close to be finished) which extended the streak to 35 days: good for my 9th longest streak all-time. Here's a look at my all-time ten longest hit streaks:

RankStart DateEnd DateDaysRankStart DateEnd DateDays
1.10/07/201201/02/2013886.09/26/201111/18/201154
2.02/08/201305/05/2013877.06/24/201208/16/201254
3.12/28/201103/17/2012818.04/04/201205/21/201248
4.04/13/201106/30/2011799.05/12/201306/15/201335
5.07/28/201109/23/20115810.01/04/201302/06/201334

Of the 5 States in which I received hits this past week, none were the first hit for that State in 2013. Overall I've received hits in 36 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0   51
PreviousStill Needed for GoalBeyond Goal

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 1 county bringing my total of counties hit to 529. The newly hit county was Fayette PA. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483   581
PreviousNewStill Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 3 Years 234 Days 2 Hours 36 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 26th on my all-time longest active list.

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered229202637926503124358328920115.125649+9+854
Bills with Hits37044263427916575507426.34327-10-48
Total Hits43305017503922709603032.65103-11-64

It wasn't a good week for hits, and I'm surprised to see that my entries were above the average target. I can believe that I'll enter 7000 bills this year, but I have a hard time believing that I'll get close to 8000.

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 7878 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 85.0 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.19% [+0.55%].

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered200862325123372121328625634114.723400+6-28
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 7878.28313253012 entries this year rather than 600027299113.523367+7+5

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekG%Goal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"7813.41%9143.46%9183.46%3.51%918058
New York "B"16917.38%19747.48%19827.48%7.58%1984-239
Philadelphia "C"6562.86%7712.92%7722.91%2.96%773-137
Cleveland "D"8193.57%9603.64%9703.66%3.67%962+82
Richmond "E"15696.85%18406.98%18476.97%7.05%1843+42
Atlanta "F"20969.14%25229.56%25359.56%9.64%2494+4114
Chicago "G"15026.55%17766.73%17856.74%6.75%1765+206
St. Louis "H"7403.23%8693.29%8733.29%3.33%871+240
Minneapolis "I"6022.63%7062.68%7112.68%2.73%711070
Kansas City "J"5582.43%6602.50%6622.50%2.53%660+257
Dallas "K"9534.16%11274.27%11324.27%4.36%1131+155

At this point in the year, if I've entered 45 bills for a particular FRB than I'm on pace to enter 100 bills for that FRB.

It was a slow week for hits. Guess all of those entries in May haven't started producing vast amount of hits yet. Still optimistic that I'll see an increase soon.

Saturday, June 15, 2013

My UFC 161 Fight Picks

My UFC 161 Fight Picks

This card lost two of it's three top fights. I'm not thrilled by the new headliner, but there are a couple intriguing fights.

Bantamweight Match [UFC161-11]
N/A
Match Points: 6.37
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
BW #31Yves Jabouin (18-8)-3291.948.31
BW #112Dustin Pague (11-7)+26717.0123.38

Based on his last two losses, I'm surprised that Pague is still in the UFC. Jabouin is the more explosion fighter and will overwhelm "The Disciple". Pague will likely be looking for a new home after this loss.

Lightweight Match [UFC161-10]
N/A
Match Points: 3.72
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
WW #84John Maguire (18-5)-2641.415.13
LW #259Mitch Clarke (9-2)+2198.1511.87

This will be Maguire's lightweight debut in the UFC. Both are trying to prevent a three fight losing streak. Maguire's the more skilled submission artist of the two, and as long as the weight cut doesn't affect him, he should be able to wrap this one up.

Bantamweight Match [UFC161-09]
FX
Match Points: 8.81
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
BW #52Roland Delorme (8-1, 1 NC)-2094.2213.03
BW #96Edwin Figueroa (9-2)+17815.6824.49

Both loss in their last outing to Francisco Rivera, but Delorme had that loss overturned to a No Contest when Rivera failed his drug test. Figueroa lasted longer between the two. "El Feroz" has the better stand up and has a good opportunity to pull off the upset.

Welterweight Match [UFC161-08]
FX
Match Points: 9.04
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
WW #62Sean Pierson (13-6)-1506.0315.07
WW #71Kenny Robertson (12-2)+12911.6620.70

Robertson pulled off quite the odd and painful submission in his last UFC fight. Pierson is the tougher looking of the two, but I can't get the memory of Jardine's knee out of my mind. I'll take Kenny for the upset.

Lightweight Match [UFC161-07]
FX
Match Points: 9.30
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LW #50Sam Stout (19-8-1)-2214.2113.51
LW #76James Krause (19-4)+18517.2126.51

Krause comes into the fight as a late replacement but has a 7 fight win streak. This is his UFC debut. A few years ago, he had an unsuccesful run in the WEC, but his losses came to Cerrone and Lamas, so he wasn't losing to cupcakes. Stout has been in the UFC for ages and his high level experience will make the difference here.

Welterweight Match [UFC161-06]
FX
Match Points: 12.87
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
WW #14Tyron Woodley (11-1)-1807.1520.02
MW #23Jake Shields (27-6-1, 1 NC)+15319.6932.56

Woodley impressed with a 36 second knockout in his UFC debut. Shields ruled the Strikeforce middleweight division before moving over to the UFC where he hasn't been quite so effective. This fight will come down to whether or not Woodley can keep the fight on the feet (Tyron does have a strong wrestling background). This fight seems pretty even to me, so I'll go with the underdog.

Heavyweight Match [UFC161-05]
PPV / Main Card
Match Points: 15.98
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
HW #30Shawn Jordan (14-4)-10215.6731.65
HW #47Pat Barry (8-5)-12213.1029.08

Both are knockout artists, but Barry has the advantage on the feet, so Jordan's going to want to take this one to the ground like he did against Lavar Johnson. The odds are pretty even on this one, and I know the league leader is likely to go with Barry. I could be safe and do the same, but I think I'll go for the minor upset.

Women's 135 Match [UFC161-04]
PPV / Main Card
Match Points: 19.59
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
W135 #5Alexis Davis (13-5)-3865.0824.67
W125 #3Rosi Sexton (13-2)+31060.7380.32

I'm not sure I fully understand what the UFC is doing with it's women's bantamweight division: this is the fourth women's fight, but two of those fights have featured a fighter that's been fighting at flyweight. Such is the case in this fight with Sexton in this fight. Davis has had successful at 135, and I don't see her losing to the lighter fighter.

Light Heavyweight Match [UFC161-03]
PPV / Main Card
Match Points: 16.52
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LHW #23Ryan Jimmo (17-2)-2526.5623.08
LHW #42Igor Pokrajac (25-9, 1 NC)+20934.5351.05

Jimmo made a splash in his UFC debut scoring a 7 second knockout but then took a step back in his second outing. Pokajac is an even 4-4 in the UFC and shares a loss with Jimmo to Te Huna. I think Jimmo would beat a few of the guys that beat Pokajac, and this should be a good rebound fight for the "Big Deal".

Heavyweight Match [UFC161-02]
PPV / Main Card / Co-Main Event
Match Points: 18.67
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
HW #9Roy Nelson (19-7)-2557.3225.99
HW #23Stipe Miocic (9-1)+20638.4657.13

Miocic is the exact type of fighter that Big Country steams through. I see this being a quick fight.

Light Heavyweight Match [UFC161-01]
PPV / Main Card / Main Event
Match Points: 20.53
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LHW #3Dan Henderson (29-9)-10319.9340.46
LHW #6Rashad Evans (17-3-1)-12216.8337.36

If Evans shows up ready and implements a smart gameplan, he probably can take this one. I'm not sure either of those points will happen. The league leaders doesn't like Rashad (nor do I), so this could be an opportunity to pick up points. However, if Hendo wins as I'd like, I'd be kicking myself. I'll avoid that and take Dan.

Sunday, June 9, 2013

My Where's George Week in Review: 06/02/13 - 06/08/13

My Where's George Week in Review: 06/02/13 - 06/08/13

In the past week, I got 30 hits in 7 States [AL, CA21, CO, IL, LA, NV4, TX]. Of those hits, 2 were the 2nd hit on the bill and the rest (28) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
02030405060708
2695422

I came into the week with a 21 day hit streak. I got a hit on every day of this week which extended the streak to 28 days.

Of the 7 States in which I received hits this past week, none were the first hit for that State in 2013. Overall I've received hits in 36 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0   51
PreviousStill Needed for GoalBeyond Goal

The hit in Louisiana was my first since February of 2013.

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 1 county bringing my total of counties hit to 528. The newly hit county was Tuscaloosa AL. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483   581
PreviousNewStill Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 2 Years 254 Days 22 Hours 17 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 119th on my all-time longest active list.

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered22920262862637993345928920115.125534-22+845
Bills with Hits37044235426328559507426.34301+2-38
Total Hits43304987501730687603032.65071-3-54

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 7940 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 86.3 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.14% [+0.51%].

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered2008623168232518331652563486.023285-3-34
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 7940.47169811321 entries this year rather than 60002735485.123253-2-2

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekG%Goal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"7813.41%9103.46%9143.46%3.51%913+156
New York "B"16917.38%19697.49%19747.48%7.58%1974033
Philadelphia "C"6562.86%7622.90%7712.92%2.96%769+236
Cleveland "D"8193.57%9563.64%9603.64%3.67%957+32
Richmond "E"15696.85%18356.98%18406.98%7.05%1833+72
Atlanta "F"20969.14%25109.55%25229.56%9.64%2480+4214
Chicago "G"15026.55%17706.73%17766.73%6.75%1756+206
St. Louis "H"7403.23%8633.28%8693.29%3.33%866+340
Minneapolis "I"6022.63%7012.67%7062.68%2.73%707-167
Kansas City "J"5582.43%6522.48%6602.50%2.53%657+357
Dallas "K"9534.16%11214.26%11274.27%4.36%1124+354

Other than Minneapolis, all of the other FRBs are at or above where I need them to be at this point. At this point in the year, if I've entered 44 bills for a particular FRB than I'm on pace to enter 100 bills for that FRB. I'm going to need to pick up some extra bills for I and J (I've already gotten extras for A & K).

It was a good week results-wise, but there really wasn't anything spectacular. Regardless, I'll always take a good week that lacks the fireworks.

Saturday, June 8, 2013

My UFC on FuelTV 10 Fight Picks

My UFC on FuelTV 10 Fight Picks

Cannot say that I'm excited for this card. Not familiar with many of the fighters on the undercard. The main card doesn't feature a lot of close match ups. Was surprised to see that I picked more than a couple underdogs. We'll see how that turns out for me. Hopefully I don't give back many of the points I picked up at UFC 160.

Middleweight Match [FUEL10-13]
N/A
Match Points: 4.47
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
MW #52Anthony Smith (17-9)+2139.5213.99
NRAntonio Braga Neto (8-1, 1 NC)-2531.776.24

The night starts off with a couple of UFC newcomers.  I'm not familiar with either, but I do recognize a couple of the opponents that Neto has faced and defeated.  Add to that fact, that he's got the home country advantage, and I'm going with the favorite.

Middleweight Match [FUEL10-12]
N/A
Match Points: 3.12
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
MW #118Karlos Vemola (9-3)-1352.315.43
MW #263Caio Magalhaes (5-1)+1123.496.61

This matchup is the closest odds-wise.  Both fighters come into this matchup needing a win.  Vemola has more experience plus more UFC experience.  Magalhaes lone octogon appearance was a loss to an underwhelming opponent.  Based on that, I'll stick with the favorite.

Featherweight Match [FUEL10-11]
N/A
Match Points: 5.16
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
FW #65Mizuto Hirota (14-6-1)+1387.1212.28
FW #110Rodrigo Damm (10-6)-1623.198.35

I don't know much about either and neither has done much of note in Strikeforce or the UFC.  This feels like a toss up, so I'll take the underdog and hope that the local judging doesn't give Damm an unfair edge.

Welterweight Match [FUEL10-10]
N/A
Match Points: 5.15
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LHW #56Ildemar Alcantara (18-5)-1752.948.09
LW #131Leandro Silva (11-0-1)+1527.8312.98

I don't quite understand this matchup: Alcantara's only fight in the UFC was at light heavyweight (granted he was a late replacement - and he won).  Silva is listed as being a lightweight.  Looking at pictures of the two, Silva if far too undersized for Alcantara.  Unless the weight cut is too much for Alcantara, I can't see this one going well for the underdog.

Featherweight Match [FUEL10-09]
N/A
Match Points: 5.12
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
FW #83Felipe Arantes (14-4-1, 2 NC)-2132.407.52
FW #87Godofredo Castro (9-1)+1779.0614.18

This matchup feels like a toss up to me.  I'm not really a fan of either, and since I'm not sure which way to go, I'll take the underdog.

Middleweight Match [FUEL10-08]
N/A
Match Points: 9.17
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
MW #24Ronny Markes (14-1)-2363.8913.06
MW #26Derek Brunson (10-2)+19417.7926.96

Markes has been the more impressive of the two over the past couple years and should have the advantage with the fight taking place in his home country.

Bantamweight Match [FUEL10-07]
N/A
Match Points: 8.54
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
BW #8Raphael Assuncao (19-4)-3282.6011.14
BW #67Vaughan Lee (13-8-1)+26822.8931.43

In my opinion, Assuncao is a bit out of Lee's league and is working his way to the top of the bantamweight division.  I don't see that train didn't derailed in this fight.

Featherweight Match [FUEL10-06]
Fuel / Main Card
Match Points: 6.83
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
FW #78Rony Mariano Bezerra (12-3)-3441.998.82
LW #279Mike Wilkinson (8-0)+26718.2425.07

Wilkenson won his UFC debut but it sure wasn't impressive.  "Jason" has finished 11 of his 12 fights and there's no reason to believe he won't win this one by decision either.  May be time after this fight to give him a stiffer challenge.

Middleweight Match [FUEL10-05]
Fuel / Main Card
Match Points: 5.50
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
MW #189Daniel Sarafian (7-3)-4471.236.73
MW #267Eddie Mendez (7-1-1, 1 NC)+34118.7624.26

Sarafian is the biggest favorite on the card.  He lost his only UFC fight to C.B. Dollaway which makes the previous statement a surprise to me.  I don't know anything about Mendez which is a lot less than what I need to know to pick such a large underdog.  I'll take the favorite by default.

Welterweight Match [FUEL10-04]
Fuel / Main Card
Match Points: 10.87
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
WW #36Erick Silva (14-3, 1 NC)-3992.7213.59
WW #43Jason High (16-3)+31334.0244.89

Silva was on track to be the next big thing at welterweight until derailed by Jon Fitch.  High is on a seven fight win streak but none of those opponents are fighters I recognize.  The UFC is giving Silva another chance against a wrestler, and I think he'll be better prepared this time.

Light Heavyweight Match [FUEL10-03]
Fuel / Main Card
Match Points: 11.83
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LHW #21Rafael Cavalcante (11-3, 1 NC)-2055.7717.60
LHW #37Thiago Silva (14-3, 2 NC)+16919.9931.82

Both fighters have had wins taken away due to failed drug tests.  Both have only lost to contenders in the past few years.  This seems like a good spot to take the underdog, so I'll go with Silva.

Welterweight Match [FUEL10-02]
Fuel / Main Card / Co-Main Event
Match Points: 6.75
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LW #101Leonardo Santos (11-3)-2253.009.75
NRWilliam Macario (6-0)+18412.4219.17

This fight is the championship of TUF: Brazil Season 2.  I haven't watched any of the season and am not up to speed on the fighters.  Santos is the more experienced fighter and is the favorite, so I'll take him.

Heavyweight Match [FUEL10-01]
Fuel / Main Card / Main Event
Match Points: 15.14
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
HW #5Fabricio Werdum (16-5-1)-3084.9220.06
HW #10Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (34-7-1, 1 NC)+24436.9452.08

Big Nog is on the downside of his career while Werdum is still improving.  If Werdum can put together a couple more wins, he may get the next crack at the title at Cain-JSD III.  Nog won their first match up in 2006, but the wear and tear has taken it's toll on him, and Werdum will get the best of him here.

Sunday, June 2, 2013

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/26/13 - 06/01/13

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/26/13 - 06/01/13

In the past week, I got 32 hits in 9 States [AZ2, CA21, FL, NJ, NV2, OR, TX, WA2, WV]. Of those hits, 5 were the 2nd hit on the bill and the rest (27) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
26272829303101
42731024

I came into the week with a 14 day hit streak. I got a hit on every day of this week which extended the streak to 21 days.

Of the 9 States in which I received hits this past week, 1 was the first hit for that State in 2013: West Virginia. Overall I've received hits in 36 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0    51
PreviousNewStill Needed for GoalBeyond Goal

The hit in West Virginia was my first hit ever in that State! With this hit, I now have a hit in every State.

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 2 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 527. The newly hit counties were Indian River FL and Kanawha WV. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483   581
PreviousNewStill Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 3 Years 248 Days 5 Hours 3 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 24th on my all-time longest active list.

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered229202610526286181336628920115.125419+66+867
Bills with Hits37044208423527531507426.34275+1-40
Total Hits43304955498732657603032.65038-1-51

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 8083 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 86.6 bills per week for the rest of the year. I don't expect to enter 8000 bills this year, but it's starting to look like I may enter closer to 7000 than 6000 bills.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.14% [+0.50%].

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered200862300123168167308225634167.4231990-31
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 8082.82894736842 entries this year rather than 600027480165.623166+1+2

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekG%Goal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"7813.41%9013.45%9103.46%3.51%909+154
New York "B"16917.38%19507.47%19697.49%7.58%1966+330
Philadelphia "C"6562.86%7612.92%7622.90%2.96%766-429
Cleveland "D"8193.57%9503.64%9563.64%3.67%953+32
Richmond "E"15696.85%18246.99%18356.98%7.05%1826+92
Atlanta "F"20969.14%24919.54%25109.55%9.64%2469+4114
Chicago "G"15026.55%17536.72%17706.73%6.75%1749+216
St. Louis "H"7403.23%8513.26%8633.28%3.33%862+137
Minneapolis "I"6022.63%6962.67%7012.67%2.73%704-362
Kansas City "J"5582.43%6482.48%6522.48%2.53%653-154
Dallas "K"9534.16%11114.26%11214.26%4.36%1120+152

At this point in the year, if I've entered 42 bills for a particular FRB than I'm on pace to enter 100 bills for that FRB.

This week I got my 51st two hit/three State bill which traveled from California -> Arizona -> Florida.

Completing 50 State Bingo was the big story for the week. West Virginia still trails all other States in hits, although only have 2 hits in 5 States (Alaska, Delaware, Kentucky, Mississippi, South Dakota), so if it gets another hit quickly, it could move out of last place.