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Saturday, April 21, 2012

My UFC 145 Fight Picks

Light Heavyweight Match [UFC145-01]
PPV / Main Card / Main Event / Championship
Jon JonesRashad Evans
LHW #1 / 1146 pointsLHW #2 / 653 points
15 - 1 - 017 - 1 - 1
Wins: 8 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 2 DecWins: 6 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 9 Dec
Win Points: 22.74Win Points: 26.02
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.78:12.85:17.13:1Payout:2.69:17.50:11.79:1
Max Bet:12.825.401.63Max Bet:5.911.5312.65
My Pick: Jon Jones

Jones is a unique talent, and no one in the light heavyweight division seems like much of a challenge for him. At long as he takes the fight seriously, which he should, Jones should easily be able to take care of Evans.

Welterweight Match [UFC145-02]
PPV / Main Card / Co-Main Event
Rory MacDonaldChe Mills
WW #14 / 237 pointsWW #69 / 84 points
12 - 1 - 014 - 4 - 0 (1 NC)
Wins: 5 (T)KO, 6 Sub, 1 DecWins: 7 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 3 Dec
Win Points: 15.59Win Points: 19.55
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:2.28:11.90:17.50:1Payout:1.90:13.33:14.43:1
Max Bet:7.8111.111.53Max Bet:11.114.292.91
My Pick: Rory MacDonald

Rory MacDonald is a future star of the welterweight division. Che Mills should just represent a slight bump on his way to the top.

Heavyweight Match [UFC145-03]
PPV / Main Card
Brendan SchaubBen Rothwell
HW #15 / 132 pointsHW #55 / 60 points
8 - 2 - 031 - 8 - 0
Wins: 7 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 1 DecWins: 17 (T)KO, 11 Sub, 3 Dec
Win Points: 15.52Win Points: 18.61
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.09:17.50:17.50:1Payout:1.73:12.68:17.50:1
Max Bet:15.521.531.53Max Bet:13.695.951.53
My Pick: Brendan Schaub

Rothwell was less than impressive in his loss to Mark Hunt and seems like he's on his way slight. Schaub suffered a slight setback in his loss to Big Nog and should use this match to get back on track.

Bantamweight Match [UFC145-04]
PPV / Main Card
Miguel TorresMichael McDonald
BW #8 / 113 pointsBW #9 / 112 points
40 - 4 - 014 - 1 - 0
Wins: 9 (T)KO, 23 Sub, 8 DecWins: 8 (T)KO, 4 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 19.00Win Points: 19.04
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:4.22:11.65:14.75:1Payout:1.66:13.33:16.65:1
Max Bet:3.1015.382.66Max Bet:15.154.291.76
My Pick: Michael McDonald

From looking unstoppable a couple years ago to now almost being irrelevant, Torres could really use this win. Unfortunately, this is more likely to be Michael McDonald coming out party.

Featherweight Match [UFC145-05]
PPV / Main Card
Mark HominickEddie Yagin
FW #28 / 109 pointsFW #83 / 58 points
20 - 10 - 015 - 5 - 1
Wins: 8 (T)KO, 8 Sub, 4 DecWins: 5 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 5 Dec
Win Points: 14.24Win Points: 16.54
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:2.38:12.38:14.75:1Payout:2.85:12.85:12.85:1
Max Bet:7.247.242.66Max Bet:5.405.405.40
My Pick: Mark Hominick

I'm not a fan of Hominick. However, Yagin's fight history doesn't contain any sign that he'll be able to handle the former title contender.

Lightweight Match [UFC145-06]
PPV / Main Card
Mark BocekJohn Alessio
LW #25 / 146 pointsLW #38 / 127 points
10 - 4 - 034 - 14 - 0
Wins: 1 (T)KO, 7 Sub, 2 DecWins: 10 (T)KO, 15 Sub, 7 Dec, 2 Other
Win Points: 16.30Win Points: 16.88
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:7.50:11.36:14.75:1Payout:3.04:12.03:14.34:1
Max Bet:1.5316.302.66Max Bet:4.909.702.99
My Pick: Mark Bocek

This should be a good match. Alessio's better days really seem to be behind him, although the recent move to lightweight may just be what he needed for a resurgence. However, I think that's going to be the case.

Heavyweight Match [UFC145-07]
FX
Travis BrowneChad Griggs
HW #19 / 120 pointsHW #36 / 78 points
12 - 0 - 111 - 1 - 0
Wins: 9 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 2 DecWins: 9 (T)KO, 2 Sub, 0 Dec
Win Points: 11.48Win Points: 12.75
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.27:17.50:15.70:1Payout:1.16:15.23:17.50:1
Max Bet:11.481.532.12Max Bet:12.752.361.53
My Pick: Travis Browne

Welterweight Match [UFC145-08]
FX
Matt BrownStephen Thompson
WW #84 / 79 pointsWW #240 / 40 points
13 - 11 - 06 - 0 - 0
Wins: 7 (T)KO, 5 Sub, 1 DecWins: 3 (T)KO, 1 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 6.39Win Points: 7.50
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.76:12.47:17.50:1Payout:1.90:15.70:12.85:1
Max Bet:6.396.391.53Max Bet:7.502.125.40
My Pick: Stephen Thompson

Lightweight Match [UFC145-09]
FX
Anthony NjokuaniJohn Makdessi
LW #106 / 64 pointsLW #134 / 54 points
14 - 6 - 0 (1 NC)9 - 1 - 0
Wins: 8 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 6 DecWins: 7 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 6.83Win Points: 7.12
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.66:17.50:12.22:1Payout:1.22:17.50:14.28:1
Max Bet:6.831.536.83Max Bet:7.121.533.04
My Pick: Anthony Njokuani

Lightweight Match [UFC145-10]
FX
Mac DanzigEfrain Escudero
LW #53 / 100 pointsLW #112 / 62 points
20 - 9 - 118 - 4 - 0
Wins: 5 (T)KO, 10 Sub, 5 DecWins: 1 (T)KO, 12 Sub, 5 Dec
Win Points: 8.12Win Points: 9.12
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:3.80:11.90:13.80:1Payout:7.50:11.43:13.42:1
Max Bet:3.578.123.57Max Bet:1.539.124.13
My Pick: Mac Danzig

Welterweight Match [UFC145-11]
N/A
Chris ClementsKeith Wisniewski
WW #77 / 81 pointsWW #115 / 65 points
10 - 4 - 028 - 13 - 1
Wins: 10 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 0 DecWins: 6 (T)KO, 15 Sub, 7 Dec
Win Points: 4.65Win Points: 4.91
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:0.95:17.50:17.50:1Payout:4.43:11.77:13.80:1
Max Bet:0.001.531.53Max Bet:2.914.913.57
My Pick: Keith Wisniewski

Featherweight Match [UFC145-12]
N/A
Maximo BlancoMarcus Brimage
LW #84 / 78 pointsFW #220 / 31 points
8 - 3 - 1 (1 NC)4 - 1 - 0
Wins: 7 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 1 DecWins: 2 (T)KO, 0 Sub, 2 Dec
Win Points: 3.58Win Points: 4.43
Outcome BettingOutcome Betting
 (T)KOSubDec (T)KOSubDec
Payout:1.09:17.50:17.50:1Payout:1.90:17.50:11.90:1
Max Bet:3.581.531.53Max Bet:4.431.534.43
My Pick: Maximo Blanco

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