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Tuesday, May 28, 2013

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/19/13 - 05/25/13

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/19/13 - 05/25/13

In the past week, I got 26 hits in 7 States [AZ, CA20, MD, ME, OR, TX, WA]. Of those hits, 2 were the 3rd hit on the bill, 2 were the 2nd hit on the bill, and the rest (22) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
19202122232425
5273315

I came into the week with a 7 day hit streak. I got a hit on every day of this week which extended the streak to 14 days.

Of the 7 States in which I received hits this past week, 1 was the first hit for that State in 2013: Maryland. Overall I've received hits in 35 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0    51
PreviousNewStill Needed for GoalBeyond Goal

The hit in Maryland was my first since November of 2012.

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 2 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 525. The newly hit counties were Cochise AZ and York ME. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483   581
PreviousNewStill Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 3 Years 121 Days 14 Hours 37 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 41st on my all-time longest active list.

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered229202587526105230318528920115.125304+115+801
Bills with Hits37044186420822504507426.34248-4-40
Total Hits43304929495526625603032.65005-7-50

Another week of way above goal entries as I spent the Memorial Day weekend in Las Vegas (that's the reason why this post is late). Bills with hits and total hits were a bit below what I needed for my goals this year, but perhaps the massive amount of entries over the past few weeks while drive those numbers up the next couple months.

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 8017 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 89.6 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.11% [+0.47%].

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered200862279823001203291525634212.723032-10-31
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 8017.41379310345 entries this year rather than 600027422210.523001-70

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekG%Goal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"7813.41%8933.45%9013.45%3.51%903-251
New York "B"16917.38%19397.49%19507.47%7.58%1951-126
Philadelphia "C"6562.86%7502.90%7612.92%2.96%760+129
Cleveland "D"8193.57%9393.63%9503.64%3.67%946+42
Richmond "E"15696.85%18107.00%18246.99%7.05%1812+122
Atlanta "F"20969.14%24579.50%24919.54%9.64%2449+4214
Chicago "G"15026.55%17416.73%17536.72%6.75%1736+176
St. Louis "H"7403.23%8473.27%8513.26%3.33%856-532
Minneapolis "I"6022.63%6902.67%6962.67%2.73%699-359
Kansas City "J"5582.43%6422.48%6482.48%2.53%649-152
Dallas "K"9534.16%10974.24%11114.26%4.36%1111050

At this point in the year, if I've entered 40 bills for a particular FRB than I'm on pace to enter 100 bills for that FRB.

I found a new wild this past week. It traveled 1 Year 142 Days 33 Minutes to me from Dedham, MA. The bill had a couple stamps on both the front:

And the back:

I've sent it on it's way, and hopefully I'll get a report back on where it's gone.

The week started off well but things slowed down as it neared the three day weekend. Hopefully things pick back up next week.

Saturday, May 25, 2013

My UFC 160 Fight Picks

My UFC 160 Fight Picks

I'll be watching this one live in Las Vegas, and while I like watching the heavyweights fight, I don't know that either the main or co-main event will be competitive. I'm looking forward to a number of the fights and am excited at the prospect of a really good card.

Featherweight Match [UFC160-12]
N/A
Match Points: 5.17
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LW #75Jeremy Stephens (20-9)-2302.257.42
LW #94Estevan Payan (14-3, 1 NC)+1879.6714.84

Stephens is making his featherweight debut in the UFC after three consective losses and a long run in the lightweight division. Payan's on a five fight win streak and hasn't loss in his last eight fights but this is quite the step up in competition for him. Since Strikeforce fighters have been doing better than expected so far in the UFC, I'm going to go with the upset on this one.

Bantamweight Match [UFC160-11]
N/A
Match Points: 5.69
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
BW #23George Roop (13-9-1)+22612.8618.55
NRBrian Bowles (10-2)-2812.027.71

Bowles has only lost to Cruz and Faber but is coming off of an 18 month layoff. Roop is looking to revitalize his career at bantamweight and has won his first fight in the division. Bowles is a tough fight for his second in the division, and I don't see it going well for George.

Welterweight Match [UFC160-10]
N/A
Match Points: 2.39
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
WW #193Nah-Shon Burrell (9-2)+1323.155.54
WW #349Stephen Thompson (6-1)-1581.513.90

Thompson started his UFC career with a bang and then turned in a less than impressive performance against Matt Brown. He has fought since. Burrell transferred over from Strikeforce and already has a UFC victory under his belt. I'm undecided on who I think will win this one, and as such, I'll take the underdog.

Lightweight Match [UFC160-09]
FX
Match Points: 11.23
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LW #13Khabib Nurmagomedov (19-0)-2794.0315.26
LW #67Abel Trujillo (10-4)+22625.3836.61

Nurmagomedov is a perfect 19-0 and looking to make it 20. He's looked good in all three of his UFC fights and is a rising star. Trujillo is on a five fight win streak and looked good in his UFC debut. Unfortunately, "The Eagle" is going to be a bit too much for him.

Welterweight Match [UFC160-08]
FX
Match Points: 5.63
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
WW #162Robert Whittaker (10-2)+1779.9715.60
WW #289Colton Smith (3-1)-2182.588.21

A battle of recent TUF fighters: what a joy for me! Smith won by taking his opponents down and holding them there for the duration of the fight. That's most likely how this one plays out.

Featherweight Match [UFC160-07]
FX
Match Points: 8.76
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
FW #70Dennis Bermudez (10-3)-2713.2311.99
FW #73Max Holloway (7-1)+21919.1827.94

Both fighters are on three fight win streaks that include a unanimous decision, split decision, and finish victory preceded by a loss in their UFC debuts. Bermudez's wins have come against higher quality opponents, and I think he'll have the edge here.

Welterweight Match [UFC160-06]
FX
Match Points: 12.73
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
WW #12Mike Pyle (24-8-1)+12616.0428.77
WW #28Rick Story (15-6)-1518.4321.16

Pyle's UFC record is better than I remember and he has some decent wins. Story started off strong in the UFC but has hit a rough patch as of late. Pyle will dicate where this fight takes place and will pull off the upset.

Lightweight Match [UFC160-05]
PPV / Main Card
Match Points: 15.52
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LW #16Donald Cerrone (19-5, 1 NC)-2995.1920.71
LW #90K.J. Noons (11-6)+23937.0952.61

Cerrone's been fantastic in the UFC except in fights in which wins could get him a title shot. This is not such a match. Noons has lost 4 of his last 5 and is likely to get his walking papers after yet another defeat.

Lightweight Match [UFC160-04]
PPV / Main Card / #1 Contender Match
Match Points: 19.83
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LW #5Gray Maynard (11-1-1, 1 NC)-2109.4429.27
LW #7T.J. Grant (20-5)+17334.3154.14

It's odd for a #1 contenders match to fall so "low" on a fight card, but the winner of this match gets the next shot at Benson Henderson. Maynard has already had a couple shots at the title: the first that ended in a draw and the second saw him get his first career loss. Grant is 4-0 at lightweight after a so-so career at welterweight. I think this is a closer matchup than the odds suggest, so I'll go with the underdog.

Light Heavyweight Match [UFC160-03]
PPV / Main Card
Match Points: 18.31
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LHW #10Glover Teixeira (20-2)-2916.2924.60
LHW #19James Te Huna (16-5)+23442.8561.16

Te Huna is on a four fight win streak and is stepping in for the injured Ryan Bader. Teixeira is talked about as a potential title contender and while he's perhaps a bit overhyped, I think he'll have his way with Te Huna.

Heavyweight Match [UFC160-02]
PPV / Main Card / Co-Main Event
Match Points: 19.97
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
HW #2Junior dos Santos (15-2)-4094.8824.85
HW #8Mark Hunt (9-7)+31963.7083.67

With a win, dos Santos gets a shot at the title and a likely third match with Cain. Hunt had visa issues getting over to the States, and left about a week later than he desired. Even with the loss of time getting used to a different time zone, "The Super Samoan" is at a distinct disadvantage here and dos Santos won't tire down the streak like Mark's last opponent. dos Santos will either finish him late or force him to absorb a ton of damage.

Heavyweight Match [UFC160-01]
PPV / Main Card / Main Event / Championship
Match Points: 23.80
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
HW #1Cain Velasquez (11-1)-7423.2127.01
HW #4Antonio Silva (18-4)+514122.33146.13

The first fight between these two was quick. This fight will likely last a bit longer (Cain is unlikely to open such a cut as early) but the result will be the same: Velasquez via TKO.

Sunday, May 19, 2013

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/12/13 - 05/18/13

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/12/13 - 05/18/13

In the past week, I got 40 hits in 7 States [CA32, CO2, FL, ID, IL, NV2, TX]. Of those hits, 6 were the 2nd hit on the bill and the rest (34) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
12131415161718
5476666

I didn't have a hit streak coming into this week. By getting a hit every day this past week, I now have a 7 day hit streak.

Of the 7 States in which I received hits this past week, none were the first hit for that State in 2013. Overall I've received hits in 34 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0   51
PreviousStill Needed for GoalBeyond Goal

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 3 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 523. The newly hit counties were Pueblo CO, Canyon ID, McLean IL. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483   581
PreviousNewStill Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 3 Years 340 Days 13 Hours 52 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 18th on my all-time longest active list.

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered229202546125875414295528920115.125188+299+687
Bills with Hits37044152418634482507426.34222+8-36
Total Hits43304889492940599603032.64973+7-44

After a couple of disappointing weeks, this past week was better than expected. My bill entries were way up due to a trip to a casino (I use slot machines to "cycle" bills). Bills with hits and total hits were well above expectations also.

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 7816 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 93.9 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.11% [+0.47%].

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered200862246422798334271225634382.822819-49-21
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 7815.76086956522 entries this year rather than 600027243379.122792-45+6

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekG%Goal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"7813.41%8763.44%8933.45%3.51%894-147
New York "B"16917.38%19187.53%19397.49%7.58%1933+626
Philadelphia "C"6562.86%7422.91%7502.90%2.96%753-324
Cleveland "D"8193.57%9223.62%9393.63%3.67%937+21
Richmond "E"15696.85%17716.96%18107.00%7.05%1795+152
Atlanta "F"20969.14%24019.43%24579.50%9.64%2425+3214
Chicago "G"15026.55%17136.73%17416.73%6.75%1720+216
St. Louis "H"7403.23%8333.27%8473.27%3.33%848-129
Minneapolis "I"6022.63%6782.66%6902.67%2.73%692-255
Kansas City "J"5582.43%6352.49%6422.48%2.53%642050
Dallas "K"9534.16%10834.25%10974.24%4.36%1100-344

At this point in the year, if I've entered 38 bills for a particular FRB than I'm on pace to enter 100 bills for that FRB. My massive number of entries this week resulted in a number of the FRBs falling behind their needed pace. I don't know if this will be corrected by the end of this week but hopefully it will within a couple weeks.

This week I got my 51st two hit/three State bill which traveled from California -> Oregon -> Texas.

This past week has been fantastic for hits and has helped put May back on track to be respectable. The extra bills I've entered over the past couple weeks should help drive up hits and bills with hits in the next couple months.

Saturday, May 18, 2013

My UFC on FX 8 Fight Picks

My UFC on FX 8 Fight Picks

There are some decent match ups on this card, but I can't say that I'm all that excited for it. Not sure if that isn't more so because of UFC 160 next weekend or not. I would think after a few weeks off, that I'd be majorly craving some UFC.

Lightweight Match [FX8-13]
N/A
Match Points: 2.14
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LW #261Lucas Martins (12-1)-2690.802.94
NRJeremy Larsen (8-3, 1 NC)+2154.606.74

Martins has the better record and has won more often via finish. Both have rarely fought fighters that I'm familiar with, and when they have, they've always lost. This fight isn't worth a lot of points making it a descent pick for an upset, but I'm not seeing a compelling reason to go that route otherwise. I'll take Martins.

Flyweight Match [FX8-12]
N/A
Match Points: 9.85
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
FLW #18Jussier da Silva (14-2)-1436.8916.74
FLW #19Chris Cariaso (14-4)+11711.5221.37

da Silva was expected to challenge for flyweight gold until he got derailed by Dodson. Cariaso had a nice streak going in the UFC until he tapped out to the current #1 contender Moraga. da Silva's only other loss came to Uncle Creepy, but his wins are against opponents I don't know. I'm going to buy the hype and expect him to roll to an easy victory here.

Flyweight Match [FX8-11]
N/A
Match Points: 6.29
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
FLW #12John Lineker (20-6)-1464.3110.60
NRAzamat Gashimov (7-2)+1207.5513.84

This will be Gashimov's flyweight debut, and he didn't last long in his sole UFC fight. Lineker is 1-1 in the UFC's flyweight division, and while he's unlikely to contend for the belt, he's likely to serve well as a gatekeeper. In this fight, he'll prove that Azamat doesn't belong.

Light Heavyweight Match [FX8-10]
Fuel
Match Points: 6.77
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LHW #53Roger Hollett (13-4)+19913.4720.24
LHW #96Fabio Maldonado (18-6)-2502.719.48

Maldonado has lost three in a row in the UFC starting off with a decision loss to Kyle Kingsbury (which I would have thought to result in automatic walking papers). Hollett's had just one fight in the UFC: a loss to the returning Matt Hamill. If "The Hulk" can avoid the big shot from Fabio, I think we may see the upset here.

Bantamweight Match [FX8-09]
Fuel
Match Points: 9.54
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
BW #9Iuri Alcantara (27-4, 1 NC)-5081.8811.42
BW #65Iliarde Santos (27-6-1, 1 NC)+35934.2543.79

Santos is the second biggest underdog on the FX 8 card and is riding a six fight win streak heading into his octogon debut. Alcantara is coming off of a BS no contest which was preceeded by a loss that ended his 13 fight win streak. Alcantara has a chance to be part of the next wave of challengers at 135, and I don't see Santos breaking his momentum.

Welterweight Match [FX8-08]
Fuel
Match Points: 6.02
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
WW #68Paulo Thiago (14-5)-1643.679.69
WW #114Michel Richard dos Prazeres (16-0)+1378.2514.27

Thiago has hit a rough patch in his UFC career dropping 4 of his last 5. dos Prazeres debuts in the UFC sporting a perfect 16-0 record, but I'm uncertain about the difficulty of the competition. Paulo needs this victory, but he seems to have lost his touch, and I see the underdog picking up the upset here.

Lightweight Match [FX8-07]
Fuel
Match Points: 7.61
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LW #22Gleison Tibau (26-9)-2153.5411.15
LW #127John Cholish (8-2)+17313.1720.78

At this point in his career, Tibau has mostly been relagated to being a gatekeeper. Cholish started off his UFC career on the right foot with a TKO victory, but then lost to Castillo by being a bit hestitant. Tibau ought to be able to control the action on the feet and defend against any submission attempts John is able to throw at him and grind out a decision.

Lightweight Match [FX8-06]
Fuel
Match Points: 5.75
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LW #62Francisco Trinaldo (12-2)-3411.697.44
LW #154Mike Rio (9-1)+25914.8920.64

Trinaldo is a fairly big favorite in this matchup and has losses to a few of the fighters fighting before him on this card. Both fighters are coming off of submission victories. If Rio makes use of his wrestling advantage, I think we could see the upset here.

Featherweight Match [FX8-05]
Fuel
Match Points: 11.15
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
FW #10Nik Lentz (23-5-2, 1 NC)-1447.7418.89
FW #22Hacran Dias (21-1-1)+11713.0524.20

After things started to fall apart at lightweight, Lentz made the move down to featherweight and is now riding a two fight win streak. Dias has only lost once in his career but has only had one fight in the UFC to date. Dias has the tools to counter Lentz strengths and will likely end "The Carny's" current run.

Middleweight Match [FX8-04]
FX / Main Card
Match Points: 9.50
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
MW #66Rafael Natal (15-4-1)-3302.8812.38
MW #172Joao Zeferino (13-4)+25624.3233.82

In my opinion, Natal is overconfident in his abilities and careless which gives his opponents extra openings. He does have quite a bit of skill though. Zeferino is riding a seven fight win streak (a nice rebound from starting 1-3) but is largely untested. Calling the upset and getting it would pick me up some needed points here, but I just don't think Joao is the right kind of fighter to take advantage of Rafael's lapses in judgement.

Lightweight Match [FX8-03]
FX / Main Card
Match Points: 15.08
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
LW #12Rafael dos Anjos (18-6)-1917.9022.98
LW #21Evan Dunham (14-3)+16024.1339.21

Both fighters have similar resumes and are a level below the contenders in the lightweight division. This fight is likely to stay on the feet as both fighters wrestling/grappling are likely to cancel the others out. I could see this fight going either way, and as such, I'll take the underdog for the value pick.

Middleweight Match [FX8-02]
FX / Main Card / Co-Main Event
Match Points: 15.32
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
MW #9Ronaldo Souza (17-3, 1 NC)-5682.7018.02
MW #30Chris Camozzi (19-5)+41663.7379.05

This was suppose to be Souza versus Costas Philippou but an injury resulted in Camozzi taking this fight as a late replacement. As such, Camozzi is the biggest underdog on the card. And while he's riding a four fight win streak in the UFC, I don't think with a full training camp, that Chris would have much for the former Strikeforce middleweight champion. Jacare takes this one with ease.

Middleweight Match [FX8-01]
FX / Main Card / Main Event
Match Points: 17.73
RankFighterLinePointsTotal
MW #2Vitor Belfort (22-10)+10117.9135.64
MW #4Luke Rockhold (10-1)-12614.0731.80

This time around in the UFC, Vitor has only lost to Anderson Silva and Jon Jones - two of the top guys in the organization. Rockhold is the last Strikeforce middleweight champion, and this bout will give us a clue into where he's going to land rankings wise in the UFC. Strikeforce veterens have been getting the better of their UFC counterparts so far, but I think this one's going to be an upset in the opposite direction. "The Phenom" will TKO Rockhold and put himself back in line for another title shot.

Sunday, May 12, 2013

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/05/13 - 05/11/13

My Where's George Week in Review: 05/05/13 - 05/11/13

In the past week, I got 21 hits in 7 States [CA14, IL, ND, NV, OK, OR, UT] as well as an international hit in Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada. Of those hits, 1 was the 3rd hit on the bill, 4 were the 2nd hit on the bill, and the rest (16) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
05060708091011
4047420

I came into the week with a 86 day hit streak. When I didn't get a hit on Monday that streak ended at 87 days: good for my 2nd longest streak all-time. Here's a look at my all-time ten longest hit streaks:

RankStart DateEnd DateDaysRankStart DateEnd DateDays
1.10/07/201201/02/2013886.09/26/201111/18/201154
2.02/08/201305/05/2013877.06/24/201208/16/201254
3.12/28/201103/17/2012818.04/04/201205/21/201248
4.04/13/201106/30/2011799.01/04/201302/06/201334
5.07/28/201109/23/20115810.07/21/201008/21/201032

By failing to get a hit on Saturday, I'll have to start a streak from scratch next week. With two hitless days this past week, I guess this is payback for the awesome month I had in April. I've now had four hitless days this year which matches my prediction for hitless days for the whole year. Unless I start a killer hit streak, it doesn't look like the prediction is going to pan out.

Of the 7 States in which I received hits this past week, none were the first hit for that State in 2013. Overall I've received hits in 34 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0   51
PreviousStill Needed for GoalBeyond Goal

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 2 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 520. The newly hit counties were Jackson OK and Iron UT. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483   581
PreviousNewStill Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 2 Years 246 Days 20 Hours 45 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 110th on my all-time longest active list.

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered229202516025461301254128920115.125073+186+388
Bills with Hits37044136415216448507426.34196-10-44
Total Hits43304868488921559603032.64940-12-51

For Bills with Hits and Total Hits, I'm pretty much back to where I was at the start of April. Its a shame that two poor weeks can wipe out a solid month. I am, however, far ahead of where I need to be for bills entered. Vacation helped with that, but it seems like I was going to be ahead anyways. Will be interesting to see where this one ends up. Will the extra bills I've entered so far turn into enough hits to get the other two stats into the green?

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 7080 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 103.5 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.23% [+0.59%].

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered200862217822464286237825634278.322436+8+28
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 7079.88549618321 entries this year rather than 600026591276.622421+9+43

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekG%Goal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"7813.41%8693.45%8763.44%3.51%879-342
New York "B"16917.38%19017.56%19187.53%7.58%1901+1726
Philadelphia "C"6562.86%7322.91%7422.91%2.96%740+224
Cleveland "D"8193.57%9203.66%9223.62%3.67%921+10
Richmond "E"15696.85%17536.97%17716.96%7.05%1765+62
Atlanta "F"20969.14%23569.36%24019.43%9.64%2383+1814
Chicago "G"15026.55%16826.69%17136.73%6.75%1691+226
St. Louis "H"7403.23%8253.28%8333.27%3.33%833027
Minneapolis "I"6022.63%6712.67%6782.66%2.73%680-251
Kansas City "J"5582.43%6252.48%6352.49%2.53%631+450
Dallas "K"9534.16%10684.24%10834.25%4.36%1081+243

At this point in the year, if I've entered 36 bills for a particular FRB then I'm on pace to enter 100 bills for that FRB.

This week I got my 50th two hit/three State bill which traveled from California -> Missouri -> Illinois.

I was hoping the previous week was just a fluke, but now it doesn't appear that was the case. Funny how when I have a light hit week I like to think it's a fluke, and when I have an above average one, I think it's the new normal. I can't imagine that I'll continue to have multiple hitless days in a week very often, so hopefully things get better next week.

Sunday, May 5, 2013

My Where's George Week in Review: 04/28/13 - 05/04/13

My Where's George Week in Review: 04/28/13 - 05/04/13

In the past week, I got 23 hits in 9 States [CA14, HI, KS, NE, NJ, NV, NY, UT, WA] as well as an "international" hit in Moca, Puerto Rico. Of those hits, 5 were the 2nd hit on the bill and the rest (18) were the initial hit on the bill. Below is a calendar view of the hits throughout the week:

SundayMondayTuesdayWednesdayThursdayFridaySaturday
28293001020304
2434343

I came into the week with a 79 day hit streak. I got a hit on every day of this week which extended the streak to 86 days: good for my 2nd longest streak all-time. Here's a look at my all-time ten longest hit streaks:

RankStart DateEnd DateDaysRankStart DateEnd DateDays
1.10/07/201201/02/2013886.09/26/201111/18/201154
2.02/08/201305/04/2013867.06/24/201208/16/201254
3.12/28/201103/17/2012818.04/04/201205/21/201248
4.04/13/201106/30/2011799.01/04/201302/06/201334
5.07/28/201109/23/20115810.07/21/201008/21/201032

Of the 9 States in which I received hits this past week, 1 was the first hit for that State in 2013: Kansas. Overall I've received hits in 33 States in 2013. Here's how that stands towards my goal of 46 States hit:

0    51
PreviousNewStill Needed for GoalBeyond Goal

The hit in Kansas was my first since October of 2012.

Additionally in the past week I received my first hit in 4 counties bringing my total of counties hit to 517. The newly hit counties were Norton KS, Douglas NE, Union NJ, Uintah UT. I set a goal of 98 new counties hit in 2013, and here's a look at my progress towards that goal:

483   581
PreviousNewStill Needed for Goal

Of the bills hit in the past week, the longest active bill from the bunch was re-entered 2 Years 58 Days 17 Hours 17 Minutes after I originally entered it. That bill is now 219th on my all-time longest active list.

I made predictions regarding bill entries and hits and new bills with hits for 2013. Here's a look at how I'm doing towards those predictions:

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
PPrediction (for Year)P/WPrediction for Week:
A Week's Share of the Total
PtDPrediction to Date:
The Portion of the Prediction that should be Completed so Far
WvPWeek versus Prediction:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the P/W
DvPDate versus Prediction:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the PtD
Bills Entered229202497425160186224028920115.124958+71+202
Bills with Hits37044118413618432507426.34169-8-33
Total Hits43304845486823538603032.64908-10-40

At the current rate I'm entering bills in 2013, I'll end up with 6594 bills entered. To hit my goal of 6000 entries, I'll need to just average 109.2 bills per week for the rest of the year.

Looking at my goal of increasing the percentage that $1s make up of my entries by 1% (started the year at 87.64% so the goal is 88.64%), my percentage is now 88.15% [+0.51%].

 SoYStart of YearSoWStart of WeekEoWEnd of WeekWeek Change:
Number Added this Week
Year Change:
Number Added this Year
GGoal:
Number of Total Ones Needed by the End of the Year Based on the Prediction of 6000 Bill Entries This Year
GfWGoal for Week:
This Week's Portion of the Goal Based on the Number of Bills Entered in the Week
GtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers of One Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Met the Overall Goal
WvGWeek versus Goal:
How the Week's Numbers Stack Up Against the GfW
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
$1s Entered200862199922178179209225634172.022158+7+20
Dynamic GoalProgress towards the goal based on my actual rate of entering bills per day which would result in 6593.54838709677 entries this year rather than 600026160171.322150+8+28

Regarding my goal of increasing my non-San Francisco FRB entries, here's a table of my current progress:

 SoYStart of YearSoY%Percentage of Overall at Start of YearSoWStart of WeekSoW%Percentage of Overall at Start of WeekEoWEnd of WeekEoW%Percentage of Overall at End of WeekG%Goal PercentageGtDGoal to Date:
The Numbers Needed to be Entered so Far this Year to be on Track to Meet the Overall Goal
DvGDate versus Goal:
How the Year's Numbers So Far Stack Up Against the GtD
#IBNumber of Inserted Bills
Boston "A"7813.41%8633.46%8693.45%3.51%868+142
New York "B"16917.38%18917.57%19017.56%7.58%1877+2426
Philadelphia "C"6562.86%7292.92%7322.91%2.96%731+123
Cleveland "D"8193.57%9093.64%9203.66%3.67%910+100
Richmond "E"15696.85%17396.96%17536.97%7.05%1743+102
Atlanta "F"20969.14%23359.35%23569.36%9.64%2352+414
Chicago "G"15026.55%16646.66%16826.69%6.75%1670+126
St. Louis "H"7403.23%8153.26%8253.28%3.33%823+226
Minneapolis "I"6022.63%6672.67%6712.67%2.73%671050
Kansas City "J"5582.43%6162.47%6252.48%2.53%623+249
Dallas "K"9534.16%10564.23%10684.24%4.36%1067+143

A bit of a disappointing week after the past few, there's not a lot of positive things that can be said about the past week. Hopefully this was just an off week. Guess I'll know after this coming week.